Sebastian Payne

Listen: The Spectator’s verdict on the Cameron/Miliband Q&A

According to the snap polls, David Cameron was victorious in the first TV ‘debate’ — but Ed Miliband didn’t do too badly either. In this View from 22 podcast special, James Forsyth, Isabel Hardman and I discuss the televised Q&A session with Cameron and Miliband yesterday evening. Did the Labour leader exceed expectations? How did

Is the era of stable government over?

Everyone agrees: the outcome of this election is impossible to predict. But are we witnessing the end of the stable, two-party system of government we’ve become used to? On Monday, the Spectator posed this question to a panel of political experts for their thoughts on whether this election will mark the beginning of a series of

Podcast special: David Cameron’s accidental pre-resignation

What to make of David Cameron’s announcement that this will be the last time he leads the Tories into battle? Cock-up or conspiracy? In this View from 22 podcast special, Fraser Nelson, James Forsyth and I discuss the Prime Minister’s interview with the BBC – and whether this represents the first gaffe of the 2015 campaign. How significant

Still no lead: Tories and Labour tied in two new polls

Two polls out today have the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck, while another has Labour ahead by two points. Lord Ashcroft’s national poll has the two main parties at 33 per cent — both up on last week — while Ukip is on 12 per cent, the Lib Dems on eight and Greens on five. Tonight’s YouGov /Sun poll has a

Another poll suggests Labour wipeout in Scotland

Will the SNP eviscerate Scottish Labour? A new poll from the Guardian/ICM today suggests once again that the SNP is on course to do very well in the upcoming general election — and is currently on course to take 29 seats from Labour. As with Lord Ashcroft’s polling earlier this month, the numbers suggest that

Tories ahead again in first post-Budget poll 

The Tories have pushed ahead of Labour again after George Osborne’s successful Budget. In tonight’s poll from YouGov/The Sun, the Conservatives are ahead by two points on 35 per cent while Labour are on 33 per cent. The Lib Dems have seen no shift, remaining steady on eight per cent, while Ukip is on 13

Budget 2015: five things you need to know about the IFS analysis

Did George Osborne hide any surprises in yesterday’s Budget? The Institute for Fiscal Studies delivered its post-budget analysis this afternoon and presented a generally positive picture — noting that, as expected, the Budget ‘did not usher in any dramatic changes’ and Osborne ‘resisted the temptation to offer lots of pre-election goodies.’ Here are five things you need

Listen: The Spectator’s verdict on the 2015 Budget

George Osborne has delivered the last budget of this Parliament, was it a success? In a View from 22 podcast special, Fraser Nelson, James Forsyth, Isabel Hardman and I discuss the Chancellor’s speech and what it means for the impending election campaign. Did Osborne announce anything of particular interest? Who was the Budget targeted at? How influential were the Liberal Democrats

Poll of key marginal seats finds swing towards Labour

Are the Conservatives or Labour wining the ground war in marginal seats? Lord Ashcroft has polled eight key constituencies — of which seven are currently held by Conservatives and one by Labour — that he visited six months ago to see who is winning. In these seats, Ashcroft has found there is currently a five per cent swing away from the Conservatives. According to