James Heale

James Heale

James Heale is The Spectator’s deputy political editor.

Thursday

James Heale

Burghart: It’s the economy, stupid

From our UK edition

Most elections are fought and won on the economy. So it is no surprise that the Tory leadership have identified this as the strongest issue on which to attack Keir Starmer. At the 1922 committee last night, Kemi Badenoch told her troops that the economy would be the 'number one issue' going forward. Alex Burghart, her policy chief, did the same this morning at the Onward think tank, in a thoughtful speech reflecting on the first year of this government. Burghart's speech stressed three main points. The first, the primacy of economic policy in political debate, as the contractions under Labour become increasingly evident. The second, the underpriced possibility of widespread civil unrest summer.

Wednesday

James Heale

Tories end their term on a high

From our UK edition

Labour woes mean Tory smiles. The Conservatives have ended the parliamentary session on a (reasonable) high, after last week's benefits debacle. At the shadow cabinet yesterday, frontbenchers were treated to a presentation by Mark McInnes, the new chief executive, and Paul Bristow – the only real success story from May's local elections. This evening, it was the turn of Kemi Badenoch to address the 1922 Committee for their final meeting before the summer recess. Badenoch's speech was an upbeat affair. She pointed to the U-turns secured on welfare, grooming gangs and winter fuel. Progress was highlighted in a number of key areas, after the shambles of the last election. Following the betting scandal, the Tories have now rebuilt their candidates' team.

James Heale

Starmer takes Labour whip off rebels

From our UK edition

After a week of brooding, Keir Starmer has decided to strike. Like Michael Corleone, today he is settling all family business. A series of Labour recalcitrants have been summoned to the Whips' Office this afternoon. So far four MPs – Neil Duncan Jordan, Chris Hinchcliff, Brian Leishman and Rachel Maskell – have lost the whip. All have reputations of being 'troublemakers', having led respective revolts on winter fuel, planning reform, Grangemouth and the welfare changes. Rosena Allin Khan, Bell Ribeiro-Addy and Mohammed Yasin have all lost their trade envoy roles too. What is behind today's bolt from the blue? Among Labour MPs, there is some surprise at the timing of the purge. 'Why now?' was one veteran's snap reaction, pointing to the fact that a six week recess begins on Monday.

James Heale

Reform will exploit the Afghan scandal to the full

From our UK edition

The Afghan data leak is the kind of scandal which is perfect for Reform UK. It involves gross incompetence, profligacy and the complicity of both major parties. The Tories took the decision to allow thousands of Afghans into the country secretly; Labour continued the super-injunction which stopped that fact from being reported. Both Nigel Farage and Zia Yusuf are now gleefully savaging the last Tory government for decisions taken in late 2023. Two ministers in that Home Office at that time were Suella Braverman and Robert Jenrick. She left the Home Office on 13 November; he followed on 6 December. Allies of both say that official records will show that the pair opposed the scale and premise of the Ministry of Defence plan.

James Heale

Mel Stride: ‘what I would do differently’

From our UK edition

12 min listen

Last night, Rachel Reeves was the headline act at the Mansion House dinner. In her speech, she made the case that ‘Britain is open for business’ and that we must ‘stay competitive in the global economy’. Critics would say it is hard to claim to be open for business while having also overseen a £25 billion national insurance tax raid that is now known to be costing thousands of jobs. She began by stressing that, despite what recent reporting might suggest, she is ‘okay’ – the economic indicators, however, suggest that the economy is far from okay. Just this morning, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that inflation hit 3.6 per cent in the year to June – well above the 2 per cent target.

Tuesday

James Heale

Why does Trump like Starmer so much?

From our UK edition

12 min listen

It can now be revealed that a Ministry of Defence data leak has cost the UK some £7 billion and put thousands of Afghans at risk of death. A dataset containing the details of nearly 19,000 people who applied to move to the UK following the Taliban takeover was released in error by a British defence official in February 2022. Ministers were informed of the debacle in August 2023; since then, an unprecedented super-injunction has been in place to stop the press from reporting details. What does this mean for successive governments?

James Heale

The MoD Afghan leak is a national embarrassment

From our UK edition

Some days the British state really does embarrass itself. It can now be revealed that a Ministry of Defence data leak has cost the UK some £7billion and put thousands of Afghans at risk of death. A dataset containing the details of nearly 19,000 people who applied to move to the UK following the Taliban takeover was released in error by a British defence official in February 2022. The unauthorised data breach was committed by a soldier as he tried to help verify applications for sanctuary in Britain Ministers were informed of the debacle in August 2023; since then, an unprecedented super-injunction has been in place to stop the press from reporting details. Today, the full details of that leak can finally be revealed.

James Heale

James Cleverly’s case against the revolutionary right

From our UK edition

There is a revolutionary air on the right at present. Whether it is Kemi Badenoch's call to 'rewire the state' or Nigel Farage's attacks on 'broken Britain', few have much good to say about our current political set-up. Step forward James Cleverly to offer balm to all that inflammation. At a speech this morning at the IPPR think tank, the former foreign secretary gave his thoughts on the rise of Reform UK and how government must change to function more effectively.  Cleverly began by contrasting two Reform-run councils: Warwickshire and Leicestershire. Both wanted to change the rules to allow only national flags to be flown from council buildings.

James Heale

Starmer’s veteran woes are just beginning

From our UK edition

As hundreds of veterans marching past the Cenotaph brought Whitehall to a halt yesterday afternoon, inside parliament a debate was held on the government's plan to repeal the Northern Ireland Legacy and Reconciliation Act. Passed by Boris Johnson, this aimed to prevent veterans from being prosecuted for all but the most serious crimes committed during the Northern Ireland ‘Troubles’ from the 1960s to 1998. Labour's bid to scrap the legislation has sparked fury among veterans – and has left Alistair Carns, the Veterans Minister, on resignation watch. Quentin Letts, who has sat in parliament for nearly 40 years, suggested it was ‘the biggest turnout I have seen for a Westminster Hall debate.

Monday

James Heale

Are you a ‘working person’?

From our UK edition

10 min listen

Tomorrow Rachel Reeves will deliver her big speech in the City. The annual Mansion House address is a chance for the Chancellor to set out her vision for the British economy. But amid a gloomy set of economic indicators (including two consecutive monthly GDP contractions) it is difficult to see what good news she can offer. Westminster would be alive with speculation about what she might announce – initially, there was talk of reforms to cash ISAs; now, attention has turned to the prospect of Reeves promising a ‘new Big Bang’ by slashing regulation on financial services – however everyone is busy trying to work out who are the ‘working people’ the Labour government has pledged not to raise taxes for?

James Heale

Who exactly is a working person?

From our UK edition

Tomorrow is Rachel Reeves’s big speech in the City. The annual Mansion House address is a chance for the chancellor to set out their big vision for the British economy. But amid a gloomy set of economic indicators – including two monthly GDP contractions in a row – it is difficult to see what good news message she can deliver. Initially, there was talk about reforms to cash ISAs, with Reeves planning to cut the £20,000 annual tax-free allowance. However, following a backlash, the Financial Times reports those plans have now been dropped. There is talk instead of Reeves promising a ‘new Big Bang’ by slashing regulation on financial services. That will undoubtedly find favour in some corners of the City.

Friday

James Heale

Who’s telling the truth: Unite or Rayner?

From our UK edition

Some big news in Labour land today. Angela Rayner, the party’s deputy leader, has had her membership of Unite suspended following her comments on the Birmingham bin strike. Or at least, that’s what the trade union said. It accused Rayner of supporting a Labour-run council that had ‘peddled lies’, after she urged bin workers to accept its pay offer. Sharon Graham, Unite’s general secretary, told its annual conference that ‘Rayner has had every opportunity to intervene and resolve this dispute but has instead backed a rogue council that has peddled lies and smeared its workers fighting huge pay cuts.’ However, the New Statesman reported that Rayner had resigned her membership of Unite ‘several months ago’, meaning she can’t be suspended. Who’s telling the truth?

James Heale

Sacré bleu! We have a migration deal with France

From our UK edition

15 min listen

On today’s podcast: sacré bleu – we have a one-in, one-out migration deal with France. In a press conference yesterday, Keir Starmer and President Macron announced a deal they hope will curb Channel crossings. But, as ever, the devil is in the detail, with some key concerns about the numbers and the time frame. Digital ID cards are also back on the agenda – after an intervention from former MI6 boss Alex Younger on Newsnight. The argument is that they could deter the ‘grey labour force’ and make it harder to work in the UK for those arriving via unauthorised means. It’s the Blairite policy that refuses to go away – but, as Michael Simmons argues, we may already have the infrastructure.

Thursday

James Heale

It’s crunch time for Starmer’s ‘one in, one out’ migrant deal

From our UK edition

The entente is still very much cordiale. Talks between Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron are ongoing on the third day of the Anglo-French summit. The key issue is migration: how best to stop the constant flow of Channel crossings that have seen 20,000 arrive here this year already? Like Rwanda, this deal faces numerous practical and political hurdles Both, publicly, are singing from the same hymn sheet, with lashings of Gallic sweetness. In remarks this morning, the French President praised the relationship between London and Paris. Both nations, he insisted, share ‘the same resolve to fight’ people smugglers. The Prime Minister spoke, again, of ‘new tactics’ and a ‘new intent to tackle illegal migration and break the business model of the criminal gangs’.

James Heale

The unstoppable Angela Rayner

From our UK edition

14 min listen

There is the small matter of the Macron–Starmer press conference today, at which the Prime Minister will hope to announce a new migration deal with France. But we thought we would dedicate today’s podcast to Angela Rayner, with some MPs thinking that the answer to Labour’s woes could be to ‘give it Ange until the end of the season’. As Tim Shipman reports in the magazine, she has undergone quite the political transformation – keeping her head down and away from incoming fire. Downing Street is taking her increasingly seriously. Is she the new John Prescott – or even the next Labour leader? Also on the podcast today: Jake Berry, former Conservative party chairman, defected to Reform last night. But how much of a coup is that really for Nigel’s gang?

James Heale

What Jake Berry’s defection to Reform means

From our UK edition

Reform UK have today unveiled their latest defector from the Tories. Sir Jake Berry is, arguably, the most senior name to switch parties to date. A Conservative MP from 2010 to 2024, he served as Party Chairman under Liz Truss and was a lead proponent of levelling up as chair of the Northern Research Group. A year after losing his Lancashire constituency, it looks as though he has concluded his future now lies outside the Conservatives. Writing in the Sun, he says Labour and the Tories 'abandoned the British people' and share equal responsibility for the state of the country. Berry is the fifth former Tory MP to come across to Reform. The question that Nigel Farage's team ask when considering a new defector is 'What value do they bring?' For Berry, the answer seems to be threefold.

Tuesday

James Heale

Can Keir defrost the ‘entente glaciale’?

From our UK edition

13 min listen

Zut alors! The French are in town. Emmanuel Macron is on his state visit this week, spending time today with the King and tomorrow with the Prime Minister. His itinerary includes a state dinner and an address to both Houses of Parliament this afternoon. All the pageantry, of course, is for a reason: to defrost what Tim Shipman calls the ‘entente glaciale’ and the stalemate over migration. Keir will be hoping to get the French to sign a ‘one in, one out’ migration deal – with Labour seemingly surprised that, upon coming into power, the French didn’t roll over and make concessions on small boats when a left-wing government took office. Can we expect a new entente cordiale? Is there anything in it for Macron when it comes to stopping the boats?

James Heale

Wales is looking ripe for a Reform surge

From our UK edition

There are two pieces of news out this morning which offer a fillip to Reform's hopes of topping the Cardiff Bay elections next spring. The first is the long-awaited defection of former Welsh Secretary David Jones. The second is the publication of a new More in Common poll which shows Reform is set to win 28 per cent of the vote. This would translate into roughly 33 of the 96 seats in the newly-expanded Welsh parliament. At a general election, they would win 33 per cent of the vote. As I argue in the Telegraph today, Jones' move was long-awaited but is, nonetheless, important. He is, in some ways, the dream defection for Reform: an experienced Tory with much to offer, looking for little in return.

James Heale

Norman Tebbit: Thatcherite icon

From our UK edition

Norman Tebbit, the longtime keeper of the Thatcherite flame, has died at the age of 94. His career in public life spanned more than 50 years, from his election to the Epping constituency in 1970 to his retirement from the House of Lords in 2022. A Monday Club member and ardent right winger, he might have been destined to spend his career in relative backbench obscurity. But the election of Margaret Thatcher in 1975 proved to be the making of his political career. Tebbit proved his mettle to the Iron Lady in the trade union battles of the 1970s. His criticisms of the closed shop – whereby members of a profession had to belong to a union – prompted Michael Foot on one occasion in 1978 to brand him a 'semi-house-trained polecat', an epithet he wore with pride.

Saturday

James Heale

Labour’s first year (in review) with Tim Shipman & Quentin Letts

From our UK edition

22 min listen

Cast your mind back a year. Labour had just won a storming majority, promising ‘change’ to a stale Tory party that was struggling to govern. But have things got any better? In the magazine this week, Tim Shipman writes the cover piece to mark the occasion of Labour’s first year in government. He takes readers through three chapters: from Sue Gray (freebies scandal and winter fuel cut) to Morgan McSweeney (a degree of professionalisation and dealing with the Donald) to the point at which ‘things fall apart’ (assisted dying, the welfare vote and Reeves’s tears).