Jagjit S. Chadha

It’s time for a new fiscal framework

From our UK edition

The publication of the OBR’s fiscal risks report helps us understand some of the pressures on fiscal policy arising from the pandemic, climate change and changes in the costs of debt. But it should not be treated as an excuse not to understand that fiscal policy’s main responsibility is to manage risk rather than being subject to it. Rules rather than discretion have been the dominant paradigm in macroeconomic policy since the failures of the 1970s. Such rules should be transparent and widely understood and thus allow people to behave in manner consistent with their attainment. They should also allow us over time to measure the effectiveness of policy. Most importantly perhaps their attainment matches the people’s idea of what sensible policy should be.

The new Bank of England chief needs to avoid mission creep

From our UK edition

Next week Andrew Bailey will walk into the Bank of England as Governor for the first time. In his office in Parlours, he will find an overflowing in-tray. Much of its contents will be problems inherited from his predecessor, such as the economic impact of Britain’s exit from the EU; fallout from the bank’s £435 billion quantitative easing (QE) programme; the need for new systems and approaches to financial regulation; and the urgent response to the economic consequences of the Coronavirus. But there are three big problems he faces that have the capacity to extend dangerously the reach of the Bank of England and undermine its credibility as an institution in the longer term.