Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

James Forsyth

Celebrity politics

I’m normally fairly sceptical about the value of celebrity endorsements. I can’t imagine that if, say, Frank Lampard urged people to vote Tory at the next election it would make much of a difference. But the exception to this rule is Oprah Winfrey, the American chat show host who is going out to stump for Barack Obama this weekend. She’s already filled an 80,000 seat football stadium in South Carolina for the campaign and she’s enabling Obama to reach voters he otherwise wouldn’t.  To get a handle on just how much Oprah matters to her fans and how much influence she could have on the race consider these two statistics:  “A

James Forsyth

Did Abrahams say this?

Just when you thought that the David Abrahams’s story could not become any more bizzare, along comes this. The Jewish Chronicle has an explosive interview with Abrahams this morning in which he warns that if “the government starts hammering” him, then the whole affair “might take one or two dirty turns.” He also claims that the “real reason I wanted to remain anonymous was that I didn’t want Jewish money and the Labour Party being put together because this is what I feared would happen. People would say there’s a Jewish conspiracy.” But Abrahams is denying that he ever gave the Jewish Chronicle an interview. David Rowan, the editor of

James Forsyth

Brown under factional fire

If I was Gordon Brown, one of the things that would worry me most is how much more relaxed Labour figure are becoming about expressing unhelpful thoughts. Just today we have Matthew Taylor, Tony Blair’s former chief strategic adviser, telling The Guardian that the Brownite handling of donor-gate has been “inept” and that it’s “too early to say that the position for the government is terminal” and a minister who was dropped when Brown came to office confiding to a Sky journalist that he thinks the government is a ‘disaster.’ There’s also pressure on Brown from the opposite end of Labour’s ideological spectrum. This week’s New Statesman cover is a

Fraser Nelson

Why 42 days?

It seems only yesterday that Jacqui Smith was saying “I don’t know” when asked how long terror suspects should be detained without trial. Now it seems she has decided on 42 days. The government needed to reclaim the news agenda, and this was a button waiting to be pushed. Why not 56 days? Why not 35 days? The figure will have come not from the police or MI5 (who don’t arrest anyone) but from the Labour whips. And even this may be a big ask.

James Forsyth

What the Brownite bunglers are up to today

Fraser explains the absence of Douglas Alexander and Ed Balls from the airwaves in the past week in this week’s cover story and today brings further news on what this dynamic duo are up to. Alexander has pulled out of Question Time tonight, begging the question of what should replace him. (Iain Dale has a list of the questions that Douglas might not have been too keen to answer). While Ed Balls will not be facing the media today but playing Santa Claus at a No. 11 Christmas party, Ben Brogan reports. Ben also reveals that Balls owns his own full Santa outfit. Considering the way this government is going

Fraser Nelson

A debatable triumph

Last night I was at a Policy Exchange debate where I was proposing the motion that Cameron has changed the Tory party for good. They expected 40 guests, but had 300 applications so we moved to a larger venue. Why the crowd? Part of it is this strange, voracious appetite for debate in London right now reflected in the phenomenal success of the Spectator/Intelligence Squared debates. And part of it is the simple pulling power of the Gover. At the end of it, a queue formed to speak to Michael Gove, who was like me proposing the motion. He was on classic form, dividing leaders into fag-enders (Eden after Churchill,

James Forsyth

The religion question

Tony Blair recently complained of how in Britain people think of politicians as nuts if they talk about God. But Blair was a lot better off than Mitt Romney, a former governor of Massachusetts who is running for the Republican presidential nomination. Tomorrow, Romney is delivering a speech which could be entitled why a Mormon can be president too. The polls show that Romney’s Mormonism is a serious electoral problem for him with as more than one in four voters saying they wouldn’t vote for a Mormon candidate in some polls. To compound Romney’s problem his main rival in the must-win for him Iowa caucuses is Mick Huckabee a Baptist

Fraser Nelson

Brown finally wins a round

I normally review PMQs from the chamber, and conclude Brown has bombed. So I tried a TV view for a bit of balance. Labour does looks better from this vantage point. In the gallery, you can compare the volume of roars (Tories far better) and see every face (Labour glum, Tories exuberant). But on TV you can just see a broad panorama of the chamber, and only the faces in the camera “donut” – who look lively, under instruction from the whips. For the first time, Brown came armed with figures, attack lines and put downs and knew when to use them. I’d actually say that Brown won.   It

James Forsyth

Clegg ahead in the press

Iain Dale is out with his monthly ranking of the shadow cabinet’s media appearances but it is actually his Lib Dem numbers that are most interesting. If anyone had asked me whether Nick Clegg or Chris Huhne had got more press last month, I would have said that it was pretty even but with Huhne probably edging it. But according to Iain’s numbers, Clegg got vastly more mentions than Huhne—450 to 301. Whether this is any predictor of the final result of the leadership election is unclear, but it does emphasise how much of a front-runner advantage Clegg has had.

James Forsyth

More details emerge about the Wendy Alexander fundraising scandal

The Jersey based businessmen whose donation to Wendy Alexander’s leadership bid should not have been accepted, has revealed more about his contacts with the Alexander campaign. He alleges that Charlie Gordon, MSP assured him that he was allowed to donate the money despite not being on the electoral roll. Speculation is now rife that Gordon will resign his seat. Meanwhile, The Scotsman reports that Alexander is claiming that emails from her to Gordon questioning the legality of the donation to her campaign will clear her name. Labour are acutely aware that if Alexander goes then others could follow. A spin doctor has been despatched to Edinburgh to help her and the

James Forsyth

At least Labour have money coming from somewhere

One inevitable consequence of donor-gate is that Labour will find it even more difficult to raise money. If things were hard after the whole ‘cash for honours business’, just imagine how much worse it will be now. For a party, that’s £20,178,392 in debt this is a serious problem. Guido, though, has found a silver lining for the Labour bean-counters. As all the deputy leadership candidates were required to give 15 percent of all money raised to the Labour party, Peter Hain will now presumably have to write Labour a cheque for 15 percent of his unregistered donations. Does this mean, though, that Harriet Harman’s indebted campaign can get a rebate for

James Forsyth

What’s wrong with Nick Clegg?

The lacklustre nature of Nick Clegg’s public performances is becoming more and more bizarre. This morning on the Today Programme he let Chris Huhne comprehensively out muscle him. Indeed, at times it seemed like he was acting as the set up man for Huhne. Listening to the candidates you would also have thought that Huhne—not Clegg—was the young and dynamic candidate. If Clegg can’t go toe to toe with Huhne, one wonders how he’ll fare in the bear pit atmosphere of Prime Ministers Questions. Michael Gove, admittedly not a disinterested observer, pithily sums up the new Westminster conventional wisdom in his Times column this morning, “Nick looks past it before he’s even

James Forsyth

How Labour will try and fight back

The Labour fundraising scandal has taken another twist this morning with the news that there is a hunt on for the mole in the Scottish Labour party who is supposedly leaking these damaging documents. But the Tories need to be ready for the coming counter-attack from Labour. Andrew Porter reports that Gordon Brown pledged to go after the Tories on fundraising at last night’s meeting of the Parliamentary Labour party.  An obvious starting point for any Labour attack is Lord Ashcroft. Now, clearly there is no equivalence here as Ashcroft’s donations are completely legal. But the Tories would be in a stronger position if they could state unequivocally that Ashcroft is

Fraser Nelson

Cameron strong on party funding, vulnerable on dinner party etiquette

The monthly Cameron press conference is far more congenial than Brown’s. Coffee is offered at the door, together with biscuits made by the chef in downstairs kitchen. But for all that, it’s quite thinly attended and short (30 mins). Cameron called every journalist in the room by their first name, being utterly at ease. I guess one of the purposes of these briefings will be to strike a contrast with Brown, who only knows a handful of journalists.. Cameron had an entrée for us. He announced, statesman-style, that he’d just spoken to Sayeeda Warsi in Sudan and could confirm the pardon of Gillian Gibbons. No one cared. All questions were

James Forsyth

What is Gordon up to?

This morning the general view was that Wendy Alexander was staying in post because Gordon Brown feared the consequences of her quitting. Yet when Brown was offered the chance to defend his embattled counterpart, the best he could come up with was this: “”Wendy Alexander is of course subject to an Electoral Commission inquiry,” the Prime Minister pointed out, “and it’s not really right for me to say anything about the individual instances of that…” As Boulton and Co. note even Harriet Harman got more emphatic support than that. It seems perverse that having turned Alexander’s survival into a test of his own strength, Brown can’t summon up the courage

James Forsyth

Can Clegg be caught?

Following this weekend’s release of a YouGov poll that showed Nick Clegg ahead of Chris Huhne by 56 to 44, the Clegg camp have released their own internal numbers which show him with 61 percent of the vote. But things might not be as comfortable for the front runner as these figures suggest. A party source tells the BBC that only around half of party members have voted so far. Those who’ve delayed sending in their ballots must have noticed how Huhne has been dominating the air waves in recent days while Clegg has been nowhere. If Clegg wins, the next hurdle for him is to beat Huhne by a

James Forsyth

What’s at stake in Scotland

Perhaps, more extraordinary than anything going on south of the border with donor-gate is the situation in Scotland. When it was revealed on Friday that Wendy Alexander had sent a letter to the Jersey businessmen Paul Green thanking him for his donation, which he was unable to make under electoral law and which Alexander had previously denied knowledge of, it seemed inevitable that she would have to go. Alexander clung on, though. Then, came yesterday’s suggestion that her office might have had doubts about Green’s eligibility to donate far earlier than previously thought. But Alexander came out fighting. Even, though, her argument that she did nothing wrong intentionally seems rather

James Forsyth

How bad will this week be for Labour?

Last week events drew forth plenty of “worst week ever” headlines in the Sunday papers. But there is reason to think that this week could be even worse for Gordon Brown. First, there’s the situation in Scotland where Wendy Alexander’s position looks increasingly untenable. Second, there is the fact that David Abrahams has no intention of going quietly—articles in the Guardian on Saturday and the Independent on Sunday are hardly suggestive of a man trying to keep his head down. While his comments about who knew about how he was funding the party have been phenomenally damaging. Third, the question of who in the Labour party knew about how Abrahams

James Forsyth

The succession chatter just got a lot louder

If you haven’t already, do read John Rentoul’s column in today’s Independent on Sunday. It is the first time that a major commentator sympathetic to New Labour has seriously suggested that Gordon Brown won’t make it to the next election.  Rentoul predicts that Brown will recover and then fizzle again. Here’s what happens next in his scenario: “This time next year, therefore, after Brown’s second bounce has dribbled away, the party is likely to turn to David Miliband. Fittingly, he foretold Brown’s woes. Nine months ago he said on BBC1’s Question Time: “I predict that when I come back on this programme in six months’ time or a year, people