Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Just in case you missed them… | 29 December 2008

Here are some of the posts made over the weekend on Spectator.co.uk: CoffeeHousers have a New Year’s resolution for David Cameron. Fraser Nelson looks ahead to 2009, and outlines why VAT cuts help the poorest least. James Forsyth comments on a testing year for South African democracy, and states that free speech doesn’t require giving Ahmadinejad a platform. Peter Hoskin says Labour rebellion is something to look out for in 2009, and claims the Tories have the high ground in the advertising battle. Daniel Korski observes futility in Gaza. Clive Davis marks the escalating crisis in Gaza. And Americano says cut the payroll tax and raise the gas tax.

Fraser Nelson

Why VAT cuts help the poorest least

I said that Gordon Brown’s VAT cut was too small to notice – yet I have just saved £15 on furniture imports from Bali. Of course, £15 is a serious, noticeable amount of money. Problem is, it only helps people who have £600 to fork out on furniture. And here this is another defect of Brown’s useless VAT cut: it helps people like me – who are saving like mad to atone for their borrowing sins – instead of helping the lower-income groups who are most likely to spend extra money. The VAT and duty cuts announced in the last pre-Budget report are, in fact, perfectly regressive – helping the

Fraser Nelson

No, Prime Minister

It’s not just the Germans. The IMF today has poured scorn on Gordon Brown’s useless VAT cut for reasons that any corner shop owner could have explained to the Prime Minister. Here is what Olivier Blanchard, the IMF chief economist, said today. “Temporarily cutting VAT, a measure that was adopted in Great Britain, does not seem to me to be a good idea – 2 percent less is not perceived by consumers as a real incentive to spend.” Blanchard joins a small but growing chorus of international officials criticising Brown. Last week, I gave a list of other countries that are trashing Gordon Brown’s attempt to borrow his way out

Fraser Nelson

A Quick apology – but is it enough?

Every Christmas time, a turkey emerges to be hunted in the festive news vacuum. From Tim Yeo to Charlie Whelan, many have found themselves with the misfortune to have done something wrong when nothing else is happening – so will be pilloried from here to Hogmanay. This season it’s Bob Quick who is being stuffed, and rightly so. David Davis and David Cameron are both basting him, prior to the festive roasting. He’s issued an “unreserved apology”  – but, as he’ll know, it goes far beyond that.  It’s a bit rich to complain about the politicisation of the police service and then describe then entire Conservative party as “corrupt”. Quick’s

Just in case you missed them… | 22 December 2008

Here are some of the posts made over the weekend on Spectator.co.uk: Fraser Nelson says that Brown may wait until 2010 to call an election. James Forsyth says that Brown should go early for Labour’s sake but he won’t, and reports on Bob Quick’s comments about the Conservatives. Peter Hoskin highlights some of the latest election speculation. Henry Rymill introduces some Christmas wine picks. Melanie Phillips writes on the fifth column of the fourth estate. Clive Davis commemorates the “most influential environmental photograph ever taken”. And Americano approves of Barack Obama’s latest Cabinet picks.

Fraser Nelson

Brown to wait until 2010?

The ghost of Christmas Future has arrived at Kirkcaldy – and persuaded Gordon Brown not to hold an election next year. So says Ben Brogan, and it rings true. I’ve previously set out the case for a January election, and Trevor Kavanagh that for a February one.  But the PM hasn’t taken our advice, and tomorrow he’ll rule out a winter election.  His loss.  Every week he waits, his fingerprints will be ever more visible in the economic mess and the Tory majority will be bigger. Ben says that Brown’s unofficially ruling out April, May and June too. Given that we’ll have a Euro election in June (in which Labour’s

The week that was | 19 December 2008

Here are some of the posts made over the past week on Spectator.co.uk: Theresa May responds to CoffeeHousers’ Questions. Spectator staff select some of their favourite political speeches. Fraser Nelson reviews Nick Clegg’s first year as leader of the Lib Dems, and raises questions about David Cameron’s public spending plans.  James Forsyth reveals that the George Osborne general election predictor says it is dead-level between Cameron and Brown, and reports on a disappointing poll for the Tories. Peter Hoskin reports that Labour are to focus their attack on Cameron, and wonders what kind of precedent a bailout of Jaguar would create. Daniel Korski suggests how to fight the pirates. Melanie Phillips observes the incoherence

Fraser Nelson

Brown should mind his taxes

The Prime Minister’s routine half-truths, exaggerations and Brownies may have bored the British public into submission, but every now and again we get foreign governments or organisations setting him straight. After the Germans (and everyone else – list here) now it’s the turn of Abdalla Salem El-Badri, head of Opec, to gently point out that British petrol prices were so high because 72 per cent of the pump price is tax. The “highest in Europe”, el-Badri said. He wasn’t undiplomatic enough to accuse the Prime Minister of deliberately misleading the British public, but he did say this: “I think Mr Brown is very confused. If he is looking out for

Alex Massie

Is Gordon Up For It?

Iain Martin asked a good question today: Despite being at or near the top of his profession for two decades, the PM has no track record in fronting election campaigns. There are so few images of his public electioneering because he has done very little of it. Curiously, amid the speculation about the possibility of the PM going to the country as early as February (the 26th is the date the Tories have circled with blue pencil as a possibility), there has been virtually no consideration of a rather important question: will Prime Minister Brown be any good in a general election campaign? We can’t be certain of the answer

Fraser Nelson

No triangle to ping

It’s twelve months of Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrat leadership today and he celebrates by giving an interview to The Independent, saying he wants to be taken seriously. “It would help if he didn’t claim to have slept with up to 30 women,” said Nick Ferrari on LBC this morning. Andrew Pierce then came on and pointed out that this was unfair: we don’t know if they were all women. And this is the tragedy for Cleggover: this is all people care about. Last week in PMQs he said that a single mother with two children had come to see him in his constituency, and the House roared with laughter –

Fraser Nelson

On the Westminster grapevine…

‘Tis the season for Christmas receptions at Westminster, where the hacks like myself compare notes with people who know a lot more about life than we do. There’s a distinct lack of bubbly this year – funny how ministers take special care over that, while the government overspend is (literally) enough to fill every bath in England with Moet – but the chat’s been first class, especially at the Centre for Policy Studies bash last night. I thought I’d share some of it with CoffeeHousers. Much of the below may be obvious to y’all, but I found it interesting and thought-provoking. Here are my top ten points from the right-leaning people I cornered: 1) EXPORTS

Lloyd Evans

A lifeless affair

Was that PMQs? It felt more like the monthly meeting of a particularly soporific knitting circle. The last fixture before Christmas is usually full of mayhem and mischief but Gordon Brown is abroad this week taking his smirk on a tour of the east, so the understudies replaced the regular opponents. In the past Harriet Harman vs William Hague has been an electrifying bout but a sparsely populated house seemed to anticipate disappointment.  Hattie has got the feel for it by now. And Hague? He seems to have lost the feel for it. Or perhaps he deliberately underperformed so as not to overshadow his leader. His tactics were stunningly predictable.

Fraser Nelson

Picking the wrong fight

David Cameron plans to lead Labour rebels into inserting an amendment into the government’s welfare reform plans, basically removing all threat of sanction from lone mothers of children of pre-school age. This, I think, is the upshot of his press conference today. “The state prodding, pushing, cajoling mothers of children so young is simply wrong,” he said. “We need to help families, and that especially is true for single parents. It won’t do any good for our economy, or our society.” He said he suspected James Purnell was engaged in “some macho positioning exercise” which he said was “pretty sick”. CoffeeHousers will be unsurprised to hear that I disagree with

Spectator Christmas issue out now

We’ve just uploaded the content from the special, Christmas double issue of the magazine.  Here are some of the many highlights: Rod Liddle laments the state of festive health and safety. Cardinal Cormac Murphy-O’Connor delves into the language of the Christian story. Matthew d’Ancona talks to Lily Allen about celebrity culture, growing up and her new album. Fraser Nelson  looks back on a remarkable year for Gordon Brown. Tom Stacey says that we need the occasional war or economic collapse. Michael Gove outlines his school reforms. Mary Wakefield pays tribute to the 999 Club charity in south London. And Emily Maitlis reflects on her trials and tribulations of 2008. You

Fraser Nelson

What would you cut, Mr Cameron?

Much as I applaud David Cameron’s warnings about debt, and his bravery for doing so at a time when the borrowed penny hasn’t quite dropped over Westminster, would he actually do anything about it? I asked him at his press conference this morning. My point: that from April 2010 Gordon Brown intends to increase state spending at an average of 1.1 per cent (see graph, below). Cameron has ruled out real-term cuts, so would therefore have a range is between 0 per cent and 1.1 per cent – ie, between nothing and almost nothing. So where’s this great difference on the economy between the two parties? I have, of course, fallen

Fraser Nelson

Far from alone

Gordon Brown is actually uniting the world, so far as his approach to the downturn is concerned, but not in the way he’d like us to think. From Tokyo to Toronto, finance ministers are saying that countries with a budget problem (like Britain) shouldn’t seek to borrow their way out of this. Slowly, a consensus is forming. Extra borrowing is fine for well-run countries that managed to pay off debt and run a budget surplus in good times. But countries like Britain – that blew her budget even in a debt-fuelled boom – will destroy their credibility (and currency) if they try to borrow even more now. It’s not just

Fraser Nelson

The damage done in the name of compassion

Does Britain need more volunteers? David Blunkett thinks so, and has just told BBC Westminster Hour that a “civil corps” is the answer to deep poverty. Here are his words (transcribed by the indispensable Politics Home). The lower classes, he says, “see volunteering as the preserve of the middle classes. To reach them, you have to have a dialogue, be able to talk with them, where they’re at and what they’d like to do.  It’s egging them on to feel that they could do something and might just give them hope.  What’s certain is that we need to give people hope.” He bemoans “young people’s behaviour” which he considers “in

Alex Massie

Department of “But That Was Then! This Is Different!”

Gordon Brown in 1995: “A weak currency is the sign of a weak economy which is the sign of a weak government.” Today: on the commercial exchange rates, one pound will, at best, purchase you one euro. The Prime Minister insists Britain is better placed than other countries to weather the financial storms of the coming year. It wouldn’t be a bad thing if that were true. But if it is true, why doesn’t anyone outside Downing Street seem to believe it to be true? I mean the currency markets aren’t like a bunch of churlish, chippy, cynical bloggers are they? [Hat-tip: Iain Dale]

Fraser Nelson

An election with the X Factor

So much for supposed British electoral apathy: the final of the X Factor just attracted 8m votes – that stands pretty good comparison to the last election where Labour received 9.6m votes and the Tories 8.8m (and most under 35s didn’t vote). Moreover most of tonight’s electorate will have paid to vote – and gladly because, unlike the last election, the X Factor final made you feel proud to be British. It felt like a cross between the Last Night of the Proms and Mamma Mia: a real feelgood production that did tug the patriotic heartstrings of sentimental old fools like myself. The show isn’t about the music, just as

Charles Moore

The Spectator’s Notes | 13 December 2008

It is a continuing pleasure of our parliamentary life that no one really quite knows what the rules are. In the Damian Green affair, learned opinions differ about whether or not Parliament can exclude the police from the premises when pursuing a crime, whether the police need a warrant etc, etc. No one has yet mentioned the time some of this was tested in the courts. A.P. Herbert, who, by the way, was the Member of Parliament for Oxford University in the balmy days when that post existed, wrote a once-famous book called Uncommon Law. It is the record of a series of court judgments in cases involving Herbert’s fictitious