Election

Read the latest General Election news, views and analysis.

To back Trump or to steer clear?

Republican politicians face a conundrum in Donald Trump’s indictment that reminds me of a scene from Pride and Prejudice. Confronted with the prospect of marrying the loathsome Mr. Collins, Elizabeth Bennet’s father tells his daughter, “An unhappy alternative is before you, Elizabeth. From this day you must be a stranger to one of your parents. Your mother will never see you again if you do not marry Mr. Collins, and I will never see you again if you do.” Elizabeth’s choice is, of course, an easy one — and ultimately, she doesn’t make a stranger of either parent.

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The GOP is sprinting away from criminal justice reform

When President Donald Trump signed the First Step Act in 2018, it was heralded by leaders of both political parties and the mainstream media as a massive bipartisan victory. The legislation developed a risk and needs assessment program to reduce recidivism rates for federal prisoners, amended the good time credits system, shortened mandatory minimums for drug offenders and redressed pre-2010 sentencing disparities for crack versus powdered cocaine offenses. In the five years since it hit the president's desk, though, the First Step Act has become a source of controversy within the Republican Party.

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The GOP ballot harvesting bonanza has begun

A year after getting its clock cleaned thanks in large part due to abdicating mail-in ballots, everyone in the Republican Party is getting in on the ballot harvesting action. One of the latest entrants is Turning Point USA, which, through its Turning Point Action 501c4 plans to build the “first ever conservative ballot-chasing army,” according to plans obtained by The Spectator — and it won’t come cheap; Turning Point Action estimates that the total cost of its operation will be $108.6 million.

In defense of Casey DeSantis

The media should love Jill Casey DeSantis. She’s smart, she’s articulate, she’s attractive and she beat cancer. She’s a mother of three beautiful children and was an Emmy-award-winning journalist, so she was once one of them. She married a man at Disney World, of all places, one who values her opinion; in fact, she is said to be his closest advisor. As the first lady of Florida, she’s spearheaded mental health and substance abuse initiatives as well as innovative plans to lift single mothers and chronically unemployed persons out of poverty. But there’s just one problem: her husband is a Republican. And not just any Republican, but a conservative Republican on a mission to make his state the place where "woke goes to die.

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The Trump indictment will be destabilizing, no matter what

As a general matter, people who are indicted and punished for absconding with classified material tend to have done one of two things. First, they either spread that classified material by leaking to foreign governments, to the press or using it to write their memoirs. Or second, even if they don't engage in such behavior, they are a person who has a lot of enemies in the enforcement bodies in question. If you hand your enemies a baseball bat, you shouldn't be surprised when they smash you with it. The Donald Trump documents scenario looks very much like the second category, but it might also be the first.

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RFK Jr. is as mad on foreign policy as he is on vaccines

Did you know that the Biden’s State Department is run by neocons? Or that Biden’s foreign policy is “bellicose, pugnacious and aggressive”? Ask the people of Afghanistan suffering under the Taliban or the millions of Ukrainians trying to fend off an imperialist Russia. They would tell you that that is news to them. Those assessments come not from the soft-isolationist right, but rather from Democratic presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who joined Elon Musk, David Sacks, Tulsi Gabbard, Michael Shellenberger and others for a Twitter Spaces chat on Monday.

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Behind the Trump-DeSantis influencer Twitter bloodbath

Forget the campaign trail: the real Trump-DeSantis fight is spilling out on Twitter. Conservative influencers who support the respective campaigns are duking it out on Elon Musk's app — and it's getting personal. The Twitter beef ostensibly started with Trump supporters growing antsy over the prospect of a "disloyal" DeSantis running against the president who swung his governor's race, then devolved into policy fights over DeSantis and Trump's handling of the Covid-19 pandemic and Trump's ability to win the general. The arguments have since spiraled into nasty scuttlebutt. One prominent example featured New York Young Republicans chairman Gavin Wax and a handful of DeSantis surrogates.

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Bold prediction: Chris Christie will not be the nominee

I suspect that Chris Christie’s fondest dream — a dream, that is, not involving calorie intake — is to reprise his barrage against Marco Rubio with Donald Trump as the target. Christie’s preferred rhetorical weapon is the blunderbuss, and he can be quite effective. I used to delight in watching his fusillades against whining public school teachers and, truth be told, I snickered a little watching him blow a hole in Marco Rubio’s presidential aspirations.  Can he do the same thing to Donald Trump? That’s his hope. Christie, who is set to announce his candidacy for the GOP presidential nomination in New Hampshire today, is basically running as an anti-Trump attack mastiff.  This was not always his role.

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Mike Pence jumps on the grenade

When I interviewed Mike Pence recently, I asked him why so many people around him tell me the same thing: that the Marvel character he most resembles is the skinny, pre-super soldier Captain America who doesn't hesitate to leap on what he thinks is a live grenade. Pence laughed, and talked as he often does of trying to serve higher aims in whatever positions God sees fit to put him. It was only after I stopped recording that Pence added that actually, that comparison had been one that stretched back to his tenure in the House — that his friends called him Captain America in a positive way, and his foes with a roll of the eye. He implied he didn't want to say it when we were recording because it might sound boastful.

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Scoop: Gavin Wax lawyers up after Babylon Bee dismissal

Gavin Wax, the New York Young Republicans chairman who was publicly fired from the Babylon Bee last week for directing a curse word at a DeSantis campaign operative, is pursuing legal action against his former employer. A letter from Wax's lawyers to Babylon Bee CEO Seth Dillon reveals that they are currently investigating potential employment law violations in preparation for a lawsuit, according to a copy of the letter obtained by The Spectator. "It is clear from what is known at this point that Mr. Wax has multiple statutory and common-law employment and tort claims against you and your company," the letter says.

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Trump’s Hannity ‘town hall’ was a love fest from start to finish

There were no surprises in Donald Trump's pre-taped town hall-style Fox News interview with Sean Hannity outside Des Moines, Iowa last night. The former president was relaxed and confident, Hannity was deferential, the audience was eager and enthusiastic. In sum, the hour-long interview was a love fest from start to finish. There was no drama, only vote-for-me boiler-plate from Trump and adulation from the audience. I suspect, however, that certain segments of the population were riveted by the performance. Anyone working for Trump's rivals had to be dispirited by the interview. Fox is officially off Trump, but here their most popular TV personality (now that Tucker Carlson is gone) was troweling on the love while the audience clapped and and cheered. USA, USA, USA...

Trump is the last of the Cuomosexuals

Last summer, it seemed clear to me, at least, that should Florida governor Ron DeSantis enter the 2024 primary, a major point of contention with former president Donald Trump would be the contrast in their responses to Covid.  Where Trump gave decision-making power over to the cabal of Anthony Fauci, Deborah Birx and the burgeoning public health bureaucracy, DeSantis defied their silly authoritarian approaches in his state to open beaches and businesses. The comparison is obvious and for DeSantis quite beneficial. The open question was how Trump would respond.  Well, a week into the DeSantis campaign, now we know: Trump thinks DeSantis sucked on Covid, and so did Florida!

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Can DeSantis clear the giant orange roadblock?

To win the Republican nomination, you have to knock out Donald Trump. That’s no easy task — polls currently show him leading by over thirty points among Republican voters. But the task is even harder because anyone who defeats Trump must win over his supporters to win the general election. That is Ron DeSantis’s double challenge: beating Trump without alienating his voters. Trump will make both tasks as hard as possible. He is not just the least graceful loser in modern American history, he has retired the trophy. (Elon Musk retired the trophy for worst media rollout of a live presidential event. Unfortunately for DeSantis, it was his grand announcement.) Why do Trump’s primary opponents fear his wrath? Because his vitriol sways his followers, and he still has a lot of them.

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DeSantis should talk about Jeffrey Epstein

Ron DeSantis's choice to enter the presidential stakes with a Twitter Spaces conversation is unusual. Odder still is the news that he will do so in an interview conducted by Elon Musk, and a discussion moderated by David Sacks. There are so many questions here: the most obvious being, "why did you choose to roll out with a pair of wealthy tech investors from the PayPal Mafia, known as much for their accomplishments as for their eccentricities?" But here is also the question about the questions: what will DeSantis be asked? One question that might come up given the Very Online nature of this interview concerns one figure whose connections to the billionaire and political class have proven so embarrassing for those in power: Jeffrey Epstein.

Tim Scott appeals to a GOP of the past

South Carolina senator Tim Scott represents the kind of candidate white Republicans like to vote for: a black conservative who directly undermines the left's claims about the United States' — and the GOP's — innate racism. He can punctuate a pro-American litany of personal stories and generational improvement with "Can't somebody say 'Amen'?" without any qualms. And unlike Herman Cain or Ben Carson, he can do so as a successful politician who, as he says, went from cotton to Congress in his grandfather's lifetime. Cain and Carson overperformed significantly, particularly in the early months of their efforts. Yet Scott is likely to have a ceiling to his own try for the presidency. He is in many ways a throwback to the George W.

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Inside RFK Jr.’s kooky White House quest

After Linda Como, a sixty-four-year-old administrative assistant from Quincy, Massachusetts, was fired from her hospital job for refusing to be vaccinated against Covid, she discovered Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s anti-vaccine activism, and it resonated with her. But that’s not the only reason Como came to the Boston Park Plaza hotel one morning in April to see Kennedy launch his long-shot 2024 presidential campaign. “I grew up in Boston, went to Boston public schools, so you know the Kennedy family,” Como told me. “They’re like the royal family. So I’ve always been a fan of the Kennedys.” Kennedy lore runs deep in Boston. This is where Robert Kennedy’s father Robert F. Kennedy and his uncles John F. Kennedy and Edward M.

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Jeff Roe and his campaign cash grab

GOP campaign consultant Jeff Roe is the subject of new reporting in the Washington Post that shows his company, Axiom Strategies, takes in 63 percent of every dollar spent by the campaigns it is managing. A general consultant typically only takes in less than 10 percent. So what is Jeff Roe doing with all of that extra cash? According to a recent photo being passed around among journalists, campaign consultants, and even among members of Congress, Roe is icing up. The consultant was spotted at the Kentucky Derby wearing a blinged-out dollar sign chain. A tipster sent the picture Cockburn's way: Cockburn’s sources say Roe was telling people at the horse race that it was real, but now is downplaying it as a joke.

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Gavin Newsom could be the Democrats’ best 2024 hope

California governor Gavin Newsom wants to be president. If he claims otherwise — and he has — that’s Gavin. Integrity is not his strong suit. According to the RealClearPolitics aggregate of polls, the Democratic Party’s leading 2024 candidates are in preferential order: Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, Sanders, Clinton, Warren, Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez and Klobuchar. There’s also talk of a Michelle Obama draft. Newsom’s poll numbers remain low. His state is a mess and his budget surpluses have turned into a $30 billion deficit. He is a whitey-white Anglo heterosexual in an identity-mad party. But the Democratic field is weak, and the Biden candidacy tentative. The little girl on the school bus, Kamala Harris, is the most widely disdained vice president in decades.

Senator says DeSantis should run… but in 2028

One of Ron DeSantis's contemporaries in Congress strongly believes he should wait out 2024 and run in the future as opposed to challenging Donald Trump for the GOP nomination. Oklahoma senator Markwayne Mullin — the subject of an extensive upcoming Spectator profile — related his views in his hometown of Stilwell, Oklahoma this past week, noting that DeSantis, his fellow congressional class of 2012 member, has struggled to connect with people and has limits to any personality-based approach to politics. "Ron just isn't charismatic, he doesn't make you want to invite him to sit with you for a beer," Senator Mullin said.

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