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Tory Nimbys are walking into Starmer’s trap

The government has yet to formally announce its widely trailed decision to expand Gatwick, Heathrow, and Luton airports. But that hasn’t stopped six MPs from writing to Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander with a pre-emptive attack. The four Green MPs, perhaps, plus a couple of anti-capitalist hard left Labourites? Nope. Four Lib Dems and two Conservatives – one of whom is, astonishingly, Andrew Griffith, the Shadow Business Secretary. The idea of the Shadow Business Secretary campaigning against a core component of economic growth would be funny if it wasn’t so utterly damning Griffith tells Alexander that local residents’ “life is blighted every single day by the noise of take-offs and landings

Spotlight

Featured economics news and data.

Ross Clark

Ed Miliband doesn’t understand how energy pricing works

Are we about to find out the full foolishness of Ed Miliband’s policy of blocking licences for new oil and gas extraction in the North Sea? While it may come as a surprise to some, until New Year’s Eve Europe was still receiving gas supplies from Russia – not through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline which was sabotaged in 2022, but via an unlikely route through Ukraine. These taps have now been turned off, after an agreement for Russia to supply gas to Europe came to an end. That leaves the continent facing a similar situation, if less acute, to that which it faced in 2022. It must look elsewhere

Ross Clark

Starmer should bite the bullet and scrap the triple lock

Could the government be preparing itself for a spending cut which would eclipse the ending of the winter fuel payment? In his mini-reshuffle in response to the resignation of Tulip Siddiq, Keir Starmer has appointed the newly-elected MP for Swansea West, Torsten Bell, as pensions minister. It is an interesting choice because, in his former life as director of the Resolution Foundation, Bell was a loud critic of the triple lock, which he called ‘a messy way of achieving the objective of a higher state pension’. He advocated raising the state pension in line with average earnings instead. The Prime Minister quickly moved to scotch suggestions that the triple lock

Kate Andrews

The UK economy is in a rut

The UK economy has grown for the first time in three months. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reports that the economy expanded by 0.1 per cent in November after it contracted by 0.1 per cent in both September and October. This uptick is largely thanks to an increase in services output, which grew by 0.1 per cent in November 2024, after falling by 0.1 per cent in October (a downward revision from last month’s estimate that there had been no growth. So has the economy turned a corner? It’s very difficult to spin this morning’s news in a wholly positive light. Yes, it’s good that the economy did not

Why inflation figures may have given Labour false confidence

The relief from Downing Street at yesterday’s inflation data – which showed that it dipped to 2.5 per cent in the 12 months to December, down from 2.6 per cent the month before – was palpable. Darren Jones, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, cast a breezy image as he described his boss, the Chancellor Rachel Reeves, as “brilliant”. The choices facing Reeves and Starmer would be bleak Keir Starmer will now be able to offer his Chancellor more than lukewarm assurances that she is not facing the chop. The news will abate the recent cycle of media criticism and with President Trump’s inauguration next week, focus will soon turn elsewhere.  Her

Kate Andrews

Inflation dip marks a welcome surprise for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves has found brief respite this morning, with the Office for National Statistics confirming that inflation dipped to 2.5 per cent in the 12 months to December, down from 2.6 per cent the month before. This is a smaller rise than had been expected (the consensus was 2.6 per cent) and roughly in line with the Bank of England’s forecast from November, which had predicted a 2.4 per cent increase. It’s welcome news for a Chancellor who is under pressure. Core inflation slowed too, from 3.5 per cent in the year to November, to 3.2 per cent in December. This competes for the best news in the update, as core

How much longer will Starmer back Reeves?

It’s not been a happy new year for Sir Keir Starmer. The Prime Minister’s Treasury minister Tulip Siddiq has been forced out following an anti-corruption investigation in Bangladesh. Siddiq’s job became untenable following questions over links to her aunt, the former prime minister of Bangladesh, Sheikh Hasina. Siddiq has denied wrongdoing and an independent investigation found that she had not breached the Ministerial Code, but it was clear over the weekend that Siddiq’s position was untenable. Starmer, however, bafflingly allowed to her to stay on until yesterday afternoon. ‘Starmer dithered and delayed to protect his close friend,’ says Tory leader Kemi Badenoch. It’s hard to disagree with that assessment. Reeves’

Kate Andrews

Rachel Reeves is getting ready for the next market test

Rachel Reeves did her best to keep today’s China visit statement on topic. The Chancellor wanted to talk about ‘cooperation’, ‘competing where our interests differ,’ her efforts to break down market barriers and the £600 million she secured in investment. But other MPs had other ideas.  ‘I know the Chancellor has been away,’ said the Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride. ‘So let me update her on the mess she left behind.’ So began the battle between the Chancellor – to stay on topic – and her opposition to bring up the long list of economic woes that have come to the forefront this week: not just the substantial rise in borrowing

James Kirkup

Why Westminster is wrong about gilt yields

It’s gilts season at Westminster. This is one of those unpredictable events, like the passing of a comet, that sees the residents of the political village staring at the skies and imputing all sorts of divine causes to the curious flashing lights they see there.   Because of the ongoing excitement in the markets, a lot of political folk have, in the last few days, become authoritative commentators on yield curves. Welcome to the party, guys. A very long time ago, I covered bond markets for a City newswire, and hated pretty much every minute of it. I claim no particular expertise as a result, but I am still confident in

Ross Clark

Europe’s car industry is under attack on all fronts

It is half a century since Britain’s native car industry embarked on its long, painful decline, precipitated by Austin Allegros with rear windows falling off, endless strikes over the length of tea breaks and terrible commercial decisions such as to cede the hatchback market to overseas competition. But where Britain led, Germany and France now seem to be following. How much longer before names like Peugeot, Renault, and even Volkswagen, either disappear or become reduced to mere badges affixed to Chinese-designed and produced vehicles? The retreat of the European car industry has cropped up from time to time in recent months. In October, Volkswagen announced, for the first time, its intention to

Trump’s team will show Rachel Reeves how it’s done

As Trump Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent rises, full of promise for his confirmation hearing in Washington next week, the UK is still reeling from a plunge in the value of the pound and a sharp rise in borrowing costs, directly tied to Rachel Reeves’s economic policies. The contrast in the approaches of these respective leaders could hardly be more stark. Bessent, a figure whose appointment has Wall Street buzzing with optimism, contrasts sharply with Rachel Reeves, whose policies, compounded by the net zero fanaticism of Ed Miliband, are proving to be the harbinger of economic catastrophe. This comparison isn’t just about individual competence; it’s about the contrasting philosophies of

Ian Williams

Labour’s kowtowing to China will cost Britain

When the security services accessed the mobile phone of Yang Tengbo, the alleged Chinese spy who became a confidant and business partner of the Duke of York, they found a document in which Yang said of the duke, ‘He is in a desperate situation and will grab onto anything’. We can only assume there are memos circulating in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) this week describing the visit by Rachel Reeves in similar terms. Starmer and his ministers appear to be competing to see who can kowtow the lowest before Xi The hapless duke’s entanglement with Yang, whose exclusion from Britain was confirmed shortly before Christmas, was held up as

Kate Andrews

Rachel Reeves is making the same mistake as Liz Truss

Rachel Reeves returns from China this morning to face growing accusations that she has lost her grip on the public finances. This latest bond market crisis has brought into question whether the Chancellor is at risk of – or has already – broken her own fiscal rules. Capital Economics reports that a surge in gilt yields – which are at their highest levels since the financial crash – means that her £12 billion of fiscal headroom is now gone. The Treasury will be desperately hoping that something, anything, calms the markets this week and sees borrowing costs start to fall. Reports that the Chancellor has called on ministers to come

Patrick O'Flynn

It’s unlikely Rachel Reeves is going anywhere

Rachel Reeves, who is now fighting for her political life, was instrumental in helping Labour secure a landslide majority at the general election. If you don’t believe that then you have probably forgotten that her predecessor as shadow chancellor was Anneliese Dodds. All the while that the wild-haired former university lecturer Dodds was in charge of Labour’s economic policy the party lagged well behind on perceived competence on this vital issue. But when the sleek, suited and booted Reeves took over that all changed. City and business sentiment gravitated towards Starmer’s party and the Tories were unable to terrify the electorate any longer about the prospect of Labour being in

Kate Andrews

Borrowing costs soar – will Rachel Reeves have to go back on her word?

12 min listen

Long term borrowing costs for the government have reached levels not seen since 1998, and 10 year UK gilts are now at their highest point since the 2008 financial crash. Both surpass the levels seen during the Liz Truss premiership – and this hasn’t gone unnoticed by the former PM. A set of similar circumstances, but could the consequences be the same? What are the economic – and political – challenges facing Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves? James Heales speaks to Kate Andrews and Katy Balls to unpack the latest tranche of economic data. Produced by Patrick Gibbons. 

Ross Clark

Liz Truss’s legal threat against Keir Starmer is a mistake

In politics as in everyday life it is possible to be right at the same time as being terribly, terribly wrong. Look no further than Liz Truss instructing her lawyers to send a ‘cease and desist letter’ to Keir Starmer demanding that he stops accusing her of “crashing the economy”. The claim, she alleges, is not only false but contributed to her losing her South West Norfolk seat in last year’s general election. Truss is right, as it happens – the mini budget delivered by her Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng during her micro-premiership may have precipitated a run on bond markets, but it had little effect on the economy, and Britain did

Matthew Lynn

Where is Rachel Reeves?

Bond yields are soaring to their highest levels in almost 30 years and sterling is sliding. The government’s economic strategy is facing its first real test, and where is the chancellor? So far Rachel Reeves has been silent, preparing for a jaunt to China. At some point she will have to address the markets – or risk turning a round of jitters into a full-blown crisis. Over the last few days, the markets have turned decisively on the UK. Yesterday, the yield on 10-year gilts hit its highest level since the financial crisis of 2008, while the yield on the 30-year gilt hit the highest level for 30 years. The

Kate Andrews

Borrowing costs have just passed Liz Truss levels

The new year may have rustled up some surprise stand-offs for the Labour government (mainly calls from X founder Elon Musk for Keir Starmer to resign), but the rise of new problems does not mean the old problems have disappeared. A harsh reminder has been dished out this morning, as long-term borrowing costs reached a 27-year high, calling into question yet again exactly how the Treasury is going to make good on its spending commitments while sticking to the Chancellor’s own fiscal rules. Thirty-year gilt yields hit 5.21 per cent this morning – a level that surpasses the surge in borrowing costs following Liz Truss’s mini-Budget in 2022. The ten-year

Kate Andrews

Elon Musk is just one of Labour’s many headaches

It’s not terribly helpful for Keir Starmer that Elon Musk is creating polls on X, asking his 210 million followers if ‘America should liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government’. Nor does the Prime Minister seem very happy about the attacks on his record as chief prosecutor, using the Q&A of his healthcare speech this morning to insist that he used his five years in the role to tackle child exploitation ‘head on’. But the mudslinging back and forth across the pond has buried one of the most worrying indicators for 2025 announced so far: business confidence has sunk to its lowest point since Liz Truss’s infamous mini-Budget.

Matthew Lynn

Will taxpayers get their satellite bailout money back?

When the British government spent £400 million on the satellite internet start-up OneWeb back in 2020, it was seen as precisely the kind of active, tech-led industrial strategy that could re-boot the British economy. There were hopes the deal would help secure a place for the UK at the heart of the emerging space economy. Then prime minister Boris Johnson saw it as a key part of launching ‘Galactic Britain’. But four years on, the taxpayer is on the hook for a £300 million paper loss after shares in OneWeb’s parent company sank to a record low. The money poured into OneWeb has proved to be remarkably poor value Even

Ross Clark

What happened to ‘growth, growth, growth’?

This is hardly how 2024 was supposed to end for Labour. Free from the shackles of ‘14 years of Tory misrule’, the economy was supposed to take off. ‘Growth, growth, growth,’ Keir Starmer told us, a little unconvincingly, were going to be the government’s three main priorities. Indeed, Britain was going to tear away as the fastest-growing economy in the G7 – although he never offered us any explanation as to why this would be the case, still less which of his policies was going to achieve it. This morning’s revised GDP figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reaffirm just how big a failure the government’s economic policies