Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Friday

Peter Hoskin

A high stakes game of fiscal tinkering

Do read Edmund Conway in today’s Telegraph for an admirably evenhanded analysis of Brown and Darling’s Keynesian rescue plan for the economy. It might work, he says, but the potential’s there for catastrophe. Here’s the worst-case scenario:  “Keynes’s argument was not only that governments should borrow when times are tough, but that they should pay that money back when times are good. If the international investors who keep money flowing into the country believe that Labour will return the borrowed cash a few years hence, Brown et al could get away with the extra debt. But, given that they have a track record of racking up record deficits in times

Thursday

Alex Massie Alex Massie

Sarah Brown emulates Sarah Palin

Campaigning is underway in the Glenrothes by-election. Yesterday Sarah Brown, the Prime Minister’s wife, made her election debut, knocking on doors in, of all places, bonny Cardenden. How did that go? Not so well, it seems. My friend Stephen McGinty has a fine, entertaining account in today’s Scotsman: SHE was supposed to be Labour’s secret weapon, but Sarah Brown ended up being so “secret” yesterday that no-one from the press was allowed to ask her any questions. It was clear from the moment she arrived in Cardenden to campaign on behalf of the Labour Party that she was not there to speak to the ordinary members of the public. The

Peter Hoskin

There may be trouble ahead | 23 October 2008

Here’s another entry for the list of blots on Brown’s horizon: a series of strikes involving hundreds of thousands of civil servants.  The Public and Commercial Services union has scheduled them to begin on 10 November, and they’ll continue intermittently for at least three months after that date.  The root cause is anger over below-inflation pay increases (“Just look at how much money the banks are getting!” say the union officials), and the aim is to create “maximum disruption” to government services.  It’s exactly the kind of thing to draw a final line through the Brown Our Economic Saviour narrative, so Downing Street will be especially desperate to resolve things in the next two-and-a-half weeks.

Peter Hoskin

Did Osborne drip poison about Davis?

A few weeks ago, Lord Mandy hinted that he may not have been the only one dripping poison about his colleagues in Corfu – that George Osborne may have indulged in some less-than-kind comments about his fellow Tories.  Well, according to the Standard’s Paul Waugh, it’s emerged that David Davis was one of those privately criticised by the Shadow Chancellor.  The Mandelsonian cluster bomb effect continues…

Fraser Nelson Fraser Nelson

Woolas gagged – for now

Phil Woolas has only been immigration minister a few weeks, and is already controversial enough a figure to be pulled from Question Time. A humiliation for him? I suspect his job is going completely to plan. His Times interview in which he called for the population to be capped at 70m looked part of a co-ordinated campaign, slated as it was ahead of his Politics Show and Question Time appearances. He is, it seems, being groomed to become less libidinous version of David Blunkett – a blunt speaker who occasionally ventures over the top. His job will be to say crazy stuff now and again, cause a stir, and in general give the impression

Peter Hoskin

The culpability game

This seems like some kind of credit crunch milestone: a minister admitting that no-one, not even the government, can completely escape blame for the current financial crisis.  In doing so, the City minister Paul Myners has departed from the line we’ve been hearing from No.10 so far – that, in the Age of Irresponsibility, the irresponsibility was all on the part of the bankers.  The question is whether this change in tone has the blessing of the Team Brown spin merchants. 

Wednesday

Peter Hoskin

There are still plenty of hurdles in Brown’s way

Recession.  Glenrothes.  Unimpressive poll gains.  Whilst Gordon Brown may be enjoying the recent, Mandelson-orchesrated hijinks, there are certainly plenty of potential blots on his horizon.  Martin Bright adds a relatively undernoticed – but oh-so-significant – one to the list, in his latest blog post: “The polling remains dismal for Labour, though. The government’s electoral recovery is slipping despite admiration for Brown’s handling of the crisis within the Westminster village. The latest Guardian/ICM poll had the Conservatives on 42 per cent and Labour on 30 – a 12-point gap, which remains unchanged from the same poll a month ago. As we move towards this winter’s pre-Budget report, the thoughts of Labour backbenchers will turn once more

Peter Hoskin

Poll round-up

It’s been a poll-a-ramic few days, with the overall picture still being that Labour have enjoyed some post-bailout gains – particularly on economic competence – but remain trailing the Tories by some margin. Today’s Ipsos MORI poll is a case in point.  It has the Tories down 5 on last month, and Labour up 7; but the Tory drop has to be seen through the prism of a “freakishly” high result for them last month, and – besides – they’re still 15 points clear of Brown & Co. Perhaps the most encouraging poll for Labour supporters is the YouGov one conducted in marginal seats and broadcast by Channel 4 earlier.

Matthew Dancona

A class apart?

When David Cameron became leader in December 2005, Labour strategists hoped desperately that class would become an issue once more in British politics. Their hopes were dashed, however, by the public’s apparent decision to buy Dave’s mantra: “It’s not where you come from, it’s where you are going.” The playing of the “toff” card in the Crewe and Nantwich by-election backfired spectacularly, as have Gordon Brown’s intermittent attempts to present Cameron and Osborne as “public school bullies.” But there have always been nuances to this. Very senior Cameroons have expressed fears to me over the past three years that class could indeed return to haunt the Conservative Party if its

Peter Hoskin

Osborne won’t sue

According to today’s Standard, George Osborne and Andrew Feldman have ruled out court action to clear their names over the Rothschild allegations.  Rightly or wrongly, this development could encourage the view that the Tory pair have something to hide.

Peter Hoskin

The pressure’s still on Osborne

George Osborne’s hanging on – for now.  The chronology the Tories released seems convincing, and he has the backing of David Cameron.  But the forces against him are ranking up.  Yesterday evening, Nat Rothschild unveiled a witness to back up his allegations – one New York fund manager, James Goodwin.  The basic position, though, remains the same – it’s essentially one man’s word against another’s.  And as CoffeeHouser Ricardo so rightly put it yesterday: We’ve got to decide who’s word to accept: a politician or a man who runs a hedge fund. Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm. Where did I put that coin? This uncertainty comes across in this morning’s papers; few come down completely on one side or the other. 

Melissa Kite

Osborne stumbles: but is there a bigger story about Mandelson?

Melissa Kite says that the shadow chancellor should have known better than to cross the most brutal spin-doctor in Westminster, or flout the conventions of the super-rich. But we should not be distracted from the Business Secretary’s true role in this saga If George Osborne survives the spectacular fallout of his now notorious Corfu adventure he may want to review the way he spends his holidays. If a bespoke travel agent arranged his recent sojourn he should be asking for his money back, because sunshine breaks don’t come much more disastrous than this one. Not since John Fowles’s character Nicholas in The Magus has a man stepped on to a

Bill Jamieson

Scotland counts the cost of its financial Culloden

Number 35, St Andrew Square in the heart of Edinburgh’s New Town has no name plate or corporate signage. It is an anonymous executive office used by Sir Fred Goodwin, Royal Bank of Scotland’s now-departing chief executive, for discreet meetings away from the bank’s out-of-town campus headquarters at Gogarburn. From its elegant Georgian first- floor windows you can look out along the timeless thoroughfare that is George Street, past the scrubbed sandstone of Standard Life — Edinburgh’s archetypal investment institution — to some of the city’s most expensive boutiques and auction houses. Last week Number 35 was closed, and along George Street few were lingering at the shop windows. This

Rod Liddle Rod Liddle

What Harman calls a ‘distraction’, the rest of us call debate

It’s very difficult to get one’s head around the moral and ethical implications of the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Bill on a damp and frowsy October afternoon after perhaps one too many stiffeners. I came away from my research with a vague notion that the Roman Catholic Church wishes to prevent scientists from experimenting on dead lesbians, but that the House of Commons is determined to let this iniquity go ahead and that some progressive left-wing MPs wish to proceed further and allow scientists to monkey around with lesbians who are not yet dead, regardless of whether they give their consent. I must admit that it had never occurred to

Tuesday

Alex Massie Alex Massie

The Wisdom of Crowds

The extent to which one considers the general public an uncannily perceptive bunch or a gathering of witless, no-good know-nothings naturally correlates with the degree to which the public endorses any given opinion one holds oneself. That being so, it’s obvious that British voters are smarter than many of the pundits paid to interpret and analyse the latest froth and nonsense emanating from the Westminster village. That is to say, the public seems to agree with me: Gordon Brown’s is not a magician, far less a miracle worker. Today’s Guardian/ICM poll reports that the government’s response to the international financial crisis has not impressed the public. Or rather, the public

Fraser Nelson Fraser Nelson

Leaving the drama behind

How bad are the Deripaska allegations for Osborne? At the very least, climbing on board that yacht raises questions over his judgement. But, as with so many Westminster scandals, all hangs on what more is to come. Labour will gun for him as hard as they can, knowing how important he is to Tory strategy. If nothing more emerges than what’s in today’s Times, he’s okay. But if it turns out that he was part of some operation to solicit an illegal donation, he’s finished. For my part, I can’t believe he would be so stupid as to do this, or to take the view that what happens in Corfu