In light of ICM’s latest poll, Lib Dems might be relieved to hear that tomorrow isn’t all about the AV
referendum. But it’s a meagre sort of relief: they’re facing a drubbing in the local elections too. We’ve put together a quick guide to those elections, as well as those in Scotland and Wales, so
that CoffeeHousers know what to look out for, and Lib Dems know what to fear. Here it is:
England
The main question hovering over England’s local elections is: how big will Labour’s gains be? There are around 9,400 seats up for contention, of which the Conservatives currently hold about 5,000; Labour, 1,600; and the Lib Dems, 1,900. But veteran psephologists such as Colin Rallings, Michael Thraser and John Curtice suggest that the picture will be very different on Friday morning. On their account, Labour should be aiming for a net gain of around 1,000 seats.
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