This latest YouGov poll for Channel 4 will really give Labour MPs the cold sweats…
It was conducted across 60 constituencies which currently have Labour majorities of 6 to 14 percent. Why? Because they’re the seats that the Tories will need to win to be Britain’s largest party after the next election, and they’ll need an overall swing of 7 percent to achieve that.
According to YouGov, though, there’s currently a 12 percent swing in favour of the Tories. That would actually give Cameron & Co. a 150 majority in the Commons. And leave Jack Straw among the many Labour casualties.
YouGov’s Peter Kellner may be insisting that Labour could still win the next election. But these latest results confirm just how difficult that will be. There had been hopes in Labour circles that the 17.6 percent swing to the Tories in Crewe & Nantwich had been something of a freak result, a one-off. Thing is, it’s looking more and more like a sign of things to come.
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