Tom Goodenough Tom Goodenough

Will the Government’s Article 50 bill survive its big test in the Lords?

The Government is getting worried. So far, the passage of the Article 50 bill through Parliament has been relatively smooth. Tomorrow, there’s a chance that could change: peers will debate the issue of what happens to EU citizens in the UK after Brexit. This topic has been something of a political hot potato for the Government ever since Theresa May made it clear she wouldn’t guarantee the rights of the 3.3m EU citizens living in Britain to stay put. The PM’s position is that she doesn’t want to give away a useful bargaining chip, fearing that by doing so, Brits living on the continent will remain in limbo. In the face of heavy fire, this has been a position that the Government has stuck to. Now, the Home Secretary Amber Rudd has been dispatched to convince peers not to defeat the Government on this issue. In a letter to those in the Lords, she says:

‘As demonstrated by the debate on this issue in the House of Commons, there is absolutely no question of treating EU citizens with anything other than the utmost respect. That’s why we will be making securing their status a priority as soon as we trigger Article 50 and the negotiations begin.’

Rudd goes on to make it clear that the Government is not backing down, telling peers this ‘will remain the Government’s position’, whether they like it or not.

This steadfast approach paid dividends during the Commons debate on the Article 50 bill earlier this month. In the run-up to the vote on a possible amendment guaranteeing the rights of EU citizens in the UK after Brexit, there was talk the Government was facing a rebellion. A dozen Tory MPs spoke out on the issue during the debate – interpreted by some as a sign the Government’s slim majority was about to be overturned. In the end, Rudd’s charm offensive – and the Tory whipping operation – paid dividends and the bill passed through unamended. The Government will be crossing its fingers for a repeat performance this time around, and the Home Secretary is clearly confident enough in her assurance from before to reissue something of a cut-and-paste letter from her one to MPs. The worry for the Government though is that peers are likely to be less clubbable than MPs: the Tories are in the minority in the Lords, making up only 252 of the 805 peers who sit there. Rudd’s letter might have worked its magic on convincing her own party’s MPs; it’ll be something of a bigger test for it to do the same in persuading peers from outside the Tory fold not to defy the Government.

Update: The Labour leader in the Lords has said Rudd’s letter – and the Government’s refusal to back down – is ‘deeply disappointing’. 

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