Will Nikki Haley pull out on Wednesday? 

New Hampshire votes tomorrow and today Nikki Haley has just two planned events. She has a morning meet-and-greet in the city of Franklin and a ‘get out the vote rally’ in Salem this evening. 

Nobody could accuse Haley of not working hard. She’s famously an industrious woman. But given the make-or-break nature of tomorrow’s vote, her campaign seems strangely lacking in urgency. Yes, she’s spending a fortune on campaign ads. Yes, she’s engaging in slanging matches with Donald Trump, which is a useful fodder for an increasingly desperate media. She’s accused him of being ‘clearly insecure’ and having ‘temper tantrums’ after he mocked her unusual name. 

But her campaign just isn’t catching fire in the way that anti-Trump Republicans hoped it would. Optimistic analysts have been trying very hard to play on the historic unpredictability of New Hampshirites and their more independent and liberal instincts. 

But New Hampshirites, because they are so libertarian and independent, dislike being told what to think and the MAGA movement is very strong in New Hampshire, as it is almost everywhere in America.