Who ends up governing Britain after the election may well be determined by what happens in the Scottish seats. If the SNP take a slew of seats from Labour, it becomes far more likely that the Tories will be the largest party nationally. Add to that the fact that Cameron is the incumbent Prime Minister and he would, in these circumstances, probably be able to put together a deal that sees him carry on as Prime Minister.
Labour is acutely aware of this and is busy warning Scots ‘Vote SNP, Get Tory.’ But in this anti-politics era, these squeeze messages don’t work as well as they used to—as the Tories are finding out with their ‘Vote Ukip, Get Miliband’ warnings.
But, as Andy Grice reveals in his Independent column today , Labour won’t rule out some kind of deal with the SNP. As Grice writes, ‘Labour would like to rule out any post-election deal with the SNP, but its position in Scotland is so weak that this would alienate even more people’.
James Forsyth
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