Jonathan Spyer

Will Hezbollah declare war on Israel?

(Photo by AFP via Getty Images)

In Israel currently, people are waiting for a possible escalation in the north. The United States, Canada, Germany, Ireland, Russia and the Netherlands have called on their citizens in Lebanon to leave the country. Western embassies in Lebanon are exploring the coastal area to locate possible points from where an evacuation by sea could be carried out. The German foreign ministry, in a message on its website, drily notes: ‘A further escalation could also lead to a complete suspension of air traffic from Rafiq Hariri Airport. Leaving Lebanon by air would then no longer be possible.’  

The USS Wasp amphibious assault ship has arrived via the Strait of Gibraltar to the eastern Mediterranean. It has the capacity to carry out civilian evacuations. The reason for its presence, though, according to a US official quoted in Newsweek, is ‘deterrence.’  It is meant to make Hezbollah and its Iranian masters think carefully before escalating their current pattern of attacks. 

Written by
Jonathan Spyer

Jonathan Spyer is a journalist and Middle East analyst. He is director of research at the Middle East Forum and the author of The Transforming Fire: The Rise of the Israel-Islamist Conflict.

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