In the run-up to the US election, it was expected that the count could take days, possibly a week. Now, it looks like the 2024 election will be decided in a matter of hours. Swing states North Carolina and Georgia have been called for Donald Trump. Fox News reports that the most crucial swing state in this election – Pennsylvania – has been won by Trump. The surprise Selzer poll from over the weekend, showing Kamala Harris three points ahead in Iowa, proved badly wrong: Trump has won the state. The Republican candidate is now only a few electoral votes away from clinching the presidency. The prediction market Polymarket at 6am GMT gives the former president a 98 per cent chance of winning the election, and a 74 per cent change of winning the popular vote (this is up from 76 per cent at 3.40am GMT).
It’s not just the betting markets that are moving in Trump’s favour.
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