Among the scientists and medics calling this week for caution in the government’s reopening of the economy was Dr Lisa Spencer, a consultant in Liverpool and honorary secretary of the British Thoracic Society, who warned on the Today programme on Tuesday that the country was covered with a series of ‘mini Covid volcanoes’ which ‘could explode and send a massive gas plume across much more of the UK.’ Her reasoning was that a quarter of adults could still be susceptible to Covid-19, either because the vaccine didn’t work for them or because they refused to have the vaccine at all. She suggested that 10 per cent of people might refuse to have the vaccine.
It is hard to establish a case that large numbers of people remain susceptible to Covid in the way they were last year
Is this a likely scenario? By 22 April, PHE was already reporting that vaccine uptake in England among the over-50s was at 95 per cent.
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