Everyone seems agreed. Although the numbers may not have moved much, this election is still wide open. So anyone who tries to predict the outcome in the final days risks looking very stupid. Even so, I will take that risk.
The campaign has been simultaneously tense and dull. There have been no dramatic errors: no real excitements. From the outset, the polls have not moved much, generally showing a Tory lead of between ten and fourteen per cent. So is that a clue to the likely outcome? The answer is probably ‘yes’, for a number of reasons.
First, why should anyone who voted Tory in 2017 desert the party now? After all, Theresa May was hopeless, to the extent that she made Jeremy Corbyn seem almost plausible.
Boris’s approach has been totally different. It is best defined as safety first, rescued from boredom by animal energy.
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