Peter Hoskin

Why Ed Balls shouldn’t brag if the OBR downgrades its growth forecasts

Some speculation (£) today that the Office for Budget Responsibility will shortly downgrade its 2011 growth forecast – and hence the growth forecast in next month’s Budget. If so, then you can expect Ed Balls to crow on and on about it. He did, after all, prime the attack in his recent clash with George Osborne across the dispatch box:

“With consumer confidence falling, with inflation rising, with no bank lending agreement, no plan for jobs, no plan for growth, no plan B – does he really expect us to believe he can meet this forecast for economic growth this year or will he have to stand here at the Budget in six weeks’ time and downgrade his very first growth forecast?”

Yet before the shadow chancellor gets carried away, it’s worth looking at some of the growth forecasts in recent Labour Budgets. And – surprise, surprise – they were downgraded almost every year.

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