Why talk of civil war is overblown

Are we really on the brink of civil war in Britain? Is it ‘inevitable’ in the foreseeable future? So thinks Elon Musk. It would be easy to dismiss this as absurd. Indeed it is absurd. But those of a nervous disposition might point to certain circumstances in 1642 – the start of what most English people think of as the Civil War – that might cause us worry today. In 1642 hardly anyone wanted civil war. Hardly anyone expected one. Most people didn’t want to get involved. And yet it happened: what one Parliamentary officer called poignantly ‘this war without an enemy’ was to be England’s worst internal conflict. It was not, in fact, the United Kingdom’s last civil war. This took place in Ireland just over a century ago. There too, most people could not believe it was happening, and leaders on both sides assumed their opponents were bluffing – a fatal error. Are we similarly blundering towards disastrous conflict?