Daniel DePetris

Why a Trump win may not rock the boat as much as you think

Donald Trump on the campaign trail in Michigan (Getty)

If you didn’t know any better, you might think the 2024 US presidential election was a make-or-break moment for America and the world. Allies and adversaries alike will be watching the election results like the rest of us: on the edge of our seats. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are at the centre of the universe right now. So goes the result in those three states, so goes the fate of the international system as we know it.

Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are at the centre of the universe right now

It’s all a bit dramatic. Sure, certain countries have their favourites. South Korea, for example, is petrified that a second Donald Trump administration would put the cost-sharing deal that was recently signed through the shredder and demand an entirely new negotiation, whereby Seoul would need to fork over more cash to keep the roughly 28,000 US troops stationed on South Korean soil.

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