Daniel DePetris

Why 2024 will be tough on Joe Biden

In the United States, presidential elections are rarely won or lost on foreign policy. Domestic matters like the economy, crime, and the overall state of the country are far more relevant to candidates. Even so, incumbents can’t allow the world to degenerate in front of them. Just ask Jimmy Carter, whose 1980 campaign against challenger Ronald Reagan shrivelled away in part to the lingering Iranian hostage crisis.

As Joe Biden looks to 2024, his administration is juggling a cornucopia of conflicts, challenges and crises. Whether events outside America’s borders will help or hurt him at the polls next November is anyone’s guess. But there is a sense that the next year could be pivotal both for the status of these conflict as well as for Biden’s capacity to help resolve them.

The most immediate conflict is the one currently boiling in Gaza. Israel’s military operations against the Hamas terrorist group is at its deadliest phase since the war began 11 weeks ago.

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