James Forsyth James Forsyth

Where now for the Republicans?

After Iowa, the Republican race remains remarkably fluid. Indeed, it is hard to identify anyone as the frontrunner.

The result was clearly awful for Mitt Romney but Rudy Giuliani was also embarrassed, he only got 4% support comfortably behind Ron Paul, a candidate who Rudy has derided as a bit of a crank, who is at 10% with 95% of precincts reporting. Giuliani’s poor performance here illustrates just how hard it will be for him with his socially liberal, pro-choice positions and operatic private life to appeal to hard core social conservatives. If Giuliani doesn’t come in the medal positions in New Hampshire, a state where he has competed relatively seriously, he is in big trouble and could see his national numbers—which have already dropped significantly—could fall even further.   

Romney’s defeat gives John McCain, who has edged ahead of Romney in thelatest

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