Jonathan Spyer

Where does Lebanon go from here?

(Photo: Getty)

Israel’s overt ground intervention into Lebanon is now entering its third week.  So far, the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) have advanced just a few kilometers in and established control in a number of locations across the border.  The IDF itself has described its ground action on the border as consisting of ‘limited, localised and targeted raids.’  Standing at a border observation post a few days ago, my impression was that this description appears accurate, at least for now.  Looking across to the towns of Bint Jbeil, Maroun a Ras, Ain Ebel and Ait a Shaab, we heard the occasional sound of artillery cannons.  Twice, we saw interceptions of ordnance fired from the Lebanese side.  But I remembered the intensity of the exchanges of fire and the concentration of forces along the same border, 18 years ago, in 2006.  No comparison. At least for now. 

So what are the goals of Israel’s campaign in Lebanon?  And where may things be heading?  As of now, it appears that the IDF is engaged in a methodical, slow move to degrade and destroy the extensive infrastructure along the border that Hezbollah has built up since the 2006 war. 

Comments

Join the debate for just $5 for 3 months

Be part of the conversation with other Spectator readers by getting your first three months for $5.

Already a subscriber? Log in