James Forsyth James Forsyth

What would the Brexit party winning the European Elections actually change?

Even with all the volatility in British politics right now, it is still remarkable that the Brexit party are favourites to win the European Elections just a week after launching. But will the Brexit party winning actually change anything, I ask in The Sun this morning.

I think there are a several ways it which it will have an impact. First, it’ll make MPs more cautious about a second referendum. One of the reasons why support for the idea has grown in parliament is a belief that Remain would triumph. A Brexit party victory would challenge that assumption.

Next, I suspect that Farage’s new party topping the poll would make the Tory Brexit holdouts less inclined to compromise. They’ll see it as a sign that the public backs no deal, though I suspect that the Brexit party’s success has more to do with the delays to the UK leaving than anything else.

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