Daniel DePetris

What will Trump do if the Ukraine peace talks fail?

Donald Trump greets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House (Getty images)

With the war in Ukraine now in its fourth year, Trump administration officials, including Donald Trump himself, have spent the last month dialling their Ukrainian colleagues, jetting to foreign capitals to meet with Ukrainian and Russian officials and huddling with European ministers in an attempt to bring the conflict to a conclusion. The latest meeting happened this week, when U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Steve Witkoff, Trump’s special envoy, traveled to Paris for an all-hands session.

Trump, however, doesn’t have much to show for his efforts. U.S. officials continue to put on a brave face and insist that Trump, and only Trump, has the knowledge, skill-set and experience to negotiate an end to Europe’s deadliest war in 80 years. But a confluence of factors outside of his control – namely the actions of the combatants themselves – runs the high risk of killing off Washington’s diplomatic gamble before it has a chance to succeed.

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