What will tomorrow look like?

It’s by-election day today in Glasgow East, and you can expect frequent updates and analysis from the Coffee House team.  At the moment, the consensus is that it’s too close to call.  As Fraser said yesterday, the numbers suggest a narrow Labour victory, but – if you factor in low turnout and the mobilising power of the nationalists – that could be overturned quite easily.

If the SNP do come out on top, then the British political landscape could start looking very different, very quickly.  Ominously for the Prime Minister, Steve Richards (who’s written the latest Spectator politics column, available here) reports in today’s Independent that Labour ministers may already be devising post-Glasgow plans.  An uprising, perhaps – in case of defeat?  One thing’s certain: Downing Street will be very, very worried today.

For the time being, I’m going to sit on the fence on this one.  What are CoffeeHousers’ predictions?

P.