David Ignatius has a great column in The Washington Post this morning looking at the international events that could shake up the presidential race. One of the things that he considers is the US bombing the facilities that the Iranians are using to train fighters before sending them into Iraq; there’s a significant chance that this will happen this summer.
If President Bush were to order this it would be immensely controversial. His critics would accuse him of risking all out war with Iran and Obama would almost certainly condemn it. But it would also have huge ramifications for British politics: what would Gordon Brown say?
Brown would be walking a tightrope. If he were to offer his support for it, it would be a red rag to the Labour party and could result in resignations from the cabinet and maybe even a leadership challenge. But if he were to withhold his support, it would fundamentally fracture the coalition that is fighting in Iraq.
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