Katy Balls Katy Balls

What happens next? Five Brexit scenarios

Theresa May’s deal has been approved by the EU27 but now the difficult part begins. No.10 must work out a way to get the EU withdrawal agreement through the Commons. Given that the number of Tory MPs who have said they won’t support it is past the 80 mark (see the full list here), that looks no easy task. A vote is mooted for Tuesday 11th December.

So, given that Plan A looks rather optimistic, what are the alternatives? No-one – not even those at No.10 – are entirely certain what would happen if the deal is voted down. However, here are the main scenarios to expect come the vote:

  1. MPs back May’s deal on first vote
    At present, this seems an unlikely option. However, if No.10’s PR offensive pays off then a combination of Labour rebels and Tory Brexiteers backing down and voting for the deal would get May over the line.

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