Mark Galeotti Mark Galeotti

Trump’s pausing of intelligence sharing will hit Ukraine hard

A Ukrainian serviceman prepares to launch a reconnaissance drone (Getty images)

The United States’s decision to suspend all intelligence sharing with Kyiv is a less visible but almost as serious and more immediate blow to Ukraine as the pause to arms deliveries. It also raises worrying questions about the future of intelligence sharing amongst Western allies.

Ukraine is used to supplies of military materiel coming in fits and starts, and can and does stockpile ammunition, spare parts and the like to cover the dry seasons. It will probably be a couple of months before the pause really begins to have an appreciable impact on their operations. Besides, while some items such as Patriot missiles cannot be duplicated, domestic production and European and other systems can fill some of the wider shortfall, especially in drones and artillery ammunition. The intelligence-sharing suspension, by contrast, has an immediate effect.

Intelligence covers a gamut of purposes, from assessments of Vladimir Putin’s ultimate objectives to forecasts of defence industrial production.

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Mark Galeotti
Written by
Mark Galeotti

Mark Galeotti heads the consultancy Mayak Intelligence and is honorary professor at the UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies and the author of some 30 books on Russia. His latest, Forged in War: a military history of Russia from its beginnings to today, is out now.

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