As every pub-bore politico knows, betting markets tend to be more reliable indicators of election outcomes than the pundits and even the polls.
That is why the latest odds on America’s 2024 presidential elections strike Mr S as worth noting. Donald J. Trump yesterday become favourite on Betfair to be the 2024 Presidential winner, with his ‘shortest odds ever’. According to the betting exchange, Trump has a 21 per cent chance of winning. President Joe Biden, who is plummeting in the polls, has fallen to 19 per cent.
Elsewhere, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 13 per cent chance of victory —which reflects the widespread theory that she will at some point take over from the doddery Commander-in-Chief.
Mike Pence, Trump’s former Veep, is on a feeble 4 per cent. Meanwhile, the Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, increasingly the darling of the Republican right, has 13 per cent.
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