I have a policy of not betting or tipping on jump racing until at least the first week of November. That’s because the early season form over chases and hurdles is so difficult to predict in that it is hard to know which horses are fit from their summer break and which are not.
Having said that, there is no doubt that the jumps cards at Cheltenham and Kelso tomorrow excite me far more than anything offered up on the level by Doncaster or Newbury. Yet, I will nevertheless stick to my self-imposed punting rules.
If this race was run every Saturday for a year, there would be a different result each time
At the time of writing first thing on Friday morning, the Saturday cards at both Doncaster and Newbury were under threat from the weather. At the very least, the ground is almost certain to be ‘heavy’ at both tracks which generally makes betting more of a lottery.

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