Boris Johnson is the big winner in this presidential election

The US presidential election currently sits on a knife’s edge. It could go either way, and if you were in Trump’s camp right now, you might be justified in feeling optimistic. It wasn’t supposed to be this way – the polls yesterday had Biden up nine points nationally, and ahead in almost every major battleground state. But it could have real repercussions for British politics. When the dust settles – regardless of whether Biden or Trump is declared the eventual winner – this result should be very good news for Boris Johnson. Not because of Brexit or US-UK relations, but because of something much more basic and long term.

First of all, let’s address the polling issue. Pollsters haven’t had the easiest decade – they’ve suffered substantial abuse and been constantly told their predictions were wrong. In 2016, pollsters were widely lambasted for their ‘errors’, despite predicting that Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by three points, and which she ended up winning by two.