James Forsyth James Forsyth

This exit poll is a triumph for Boris Johnson

The exit poll is predicting a Tory landslide, a majority of 86 seats. The United Kingdom will leave the EU on the 31 of January. (The exit poll does have a margin of error but it is inconceivable that it could possibly be this wrong.)

This is a huge achievement by Boris Johnson. Earlier this year, the Tories came fifth in a national election with less than ten per cent of the vote—the European Elections. But Boris Johnson’s leadership has completely transformed the Tories’ fortunes. He has reunited the Leave vote behind the Tories while using fear of Jeremy Corbyn to keep most Tory Remainers on board. The exit poll is suggesting that the Liberal Democrats have only made one net gain.

The only fly in the ointment for the Tories tonight is the situation in Scotland where the exit poll has the SNP winning 55 seats, wiping out all but a handful of Scottish Tory seats.

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