James Forsyth James Forsyth

This could be a blow out

Extra Democratic ballots are needed in a string of towns, this is great news for Obama—who won in Iowa by bringing new people into the caucuses—and bad for Hillary Clinton. A double-digit loss would be a hammer blow to her campaign and if the margin climbs to around 15 points we would be well into humiliation territory. John McCain’s team must also be a little worried that this suggests that very few independents are voting in the Republican primary.

One more sign of Obama’s momentum is that his campaign are having to turn away donors from a fundraiser in New York—the adopted hometown of Hillary Clinton—tomorrow night. The question is how far are the Clintons prepared to go to try and take Obama down?

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