Roger Awan-Scully

There is a quiet Tory revolution underway in Wales

Wales has been dominated by the Labour party for, quite literally, longer than anyone can remember. But the key message from the final Welsh poll of the campaign is that we could be on the verge of a genuinely historic general election outcome.

The Welsh Political Barometer poll was conducted over the final weekend of the campaign and asked respondents how they would vote in the general election – with the question adjusted to take into account of the fact that not all parties are standing in all seats. The poll produced the following voting intention figures (with changes from the previous Barometer poll, conducted in late November, in brackets):

Labour: 40 per cent (+2)

Conservatives: 37 per cent (+5)

Plaid Cymru: 10 per cent (-1)

Liberal Democrats: 6 per cent (-3)

Brexit Party: 5 per cent (-3)

Greens: 1 per cent (no change)

Others: 1 per cent (no change)

In line with the Britain-wide polls, these results suggest that Labour support remains robust.

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