As I mentioned last night, EU President Donald Tusk’s suggestion of a Brexit delay of a year or so seems to have been torn up – notably by France’s president Emmanuel Macron.
I was told by those involved in preparations for the emergency Brexit summit on Wednesday that the most likely outcome of the special summit is another kicking of the Brexit can down the road, but only till shortly after the elections for the European Parliament at the end of May.
The big problem with a long delay, for France and its President in particular, was that it would give the UK too much power – in their view – to vandalise the EU till its leaders were cowed into tearing up the Northern Ireland backstop (hated by Tory Brexiters and the DUP).
EU leaders trust Theresa May to abide by the convention that all EU members, including exiting ones, should engage with each other in a spirit of ‘sincere cooperation’ – but do not trust she will be PM much longer.
And they have little faith that a successor such as Johnson or Raab would not blow up their budget preparations, for example.
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