Brendan Simms & K.C. Lin

The dragon vs the bear

By the time the West finds itself in open conflict with Beijing, we will have lost our relative advantage

issue 12 January 2019

At the height of the Cold War, as the West faced off against Red China and the Soviet Union, people used to joke that optimists learnt Russian while pessimists learnt Chinese. Today, the debate about which of these two great powers represents the biggest threat to our way of life is once again in full swing — though with new battle lines. And it’s not clear that Britain knows what to make of it all.

For some commentators, the main challenge still comes from Vladimir Putin’s resurgent Russia. Those who once scoffed at Mitt Romney’s 2012 claim that Russia was the principal enemy of the United States now need no persuading that Moscow wants to unravel the post-Cold War international order. The Salisbury poisoning was just the latest reminder.

Others look towards China, which last week opened another geopolitical front by completing its robotic mission to the far side of the moon.

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