Four weeks from now, voters will be heading to their polling station, and the result of this election remains unpredictable. Today’s NHS stats and the recent flooding are reminders of the particular dangers of a winter election to the governing party. But a week into the campaign, the chances of a Tory majority have increased, I say in the magazine this week.
When parliament voted for an election on 29 October, Tory strategists were still worried about how the public would react to Boris Johnson’s failure to meet his ‘do or die’ deadline of 31 October for getting the UK out of the EU. Two weeks on, it’s clear there’s been no great public backlash. This has denied the Brexit Party a chance to become major players in this election, which has led to demands from his own donors for Nigel Farage to stand his candidates down.
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