Another week, another Cabinet resignation. Now, as I say in The Sun this morning, there are those saying that Theresa May is just being unlucky right now. As Downing Street aides point out, few would have predicted a few weeks ago that Westminster was going to be engulfed in a sex scandal or that Priti Patel was going to have to resign for running her own, independent foreign policy.
Theresa May’s problem, though, isn’t that a black cat walked in front of her. Rather, it is that her government is becalmed. It doesn’t have enough momentum to get through crises, so it gets stuck in them.
As a result, the calculation about whether May can stay as Prime Minister is staring to shift. One previously bullish Cabinet Minister told me yesterday, ‘She won’t last until Brexit day’. Most Tory MPs, though, are still reluctant to move against May: they fear the chaos that could follow.
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