The arguments that will win or lose indyref2

Our latest poll in Scotland makes grim reading for unionists and offers much to celebrate for supporters of Scottish independence. Support for independence is now at a record high of 58 per cent. The SNP appear on course for a majority at next year’s Scottish parliamentary elections. And around two-thirds of Scots tell us that such a majority would provide a mandate for another independence referendum within the next five years.

For now, Boris Johnson is holding to the line that the 2014 referendum was a ‘once in a generation’ vote. This will become a harder task if the SNP win a majority come next May. So if a future referendum campaign is imminent, which arguments could win or lose the battle for independence? 

Arguments for independence

The messages that Scotland and England want different political futures and that Westminster cannot be trusted to act in Scotland’s interests are particularly powerful arguments for independence.