Talk of a Tory majority could spell trouble for Boris Johnson

In their attempt to avoid a repeat of 2017, the Tories have cleared another hurdle. A day on from the launch of their manifesto, there are no policies that are alienating core voters (the dementia tax) or target voters (means testing the winter fuel allowances). Instead, the biggest row is over whether using a net figure for the number of new nurses, rather than a gross one, is acceptable.  

So with their manifesto safely launched and the Labour one appearing not to have had the seismic impact that the 2017 one did, are the Tories now on course for a majority? The current trajectory is favourable to them. That seat projection at the weekend which had the Tories on course of a forty-odd seat majority seems about right. But there are still two causes of concern to the Tory leadership.

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The first is tactical voting.