Two polls out today have the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck, while another has Labour ahead by two points. Lord Ashcroft’s national poll has the two main parties at 33 per cent — both up on last week — while Ukip is on 12 per cent, the Lib Dems on eight and Greens on five. Tonight’s YouGov /Sun poll has a similar outlook, with the Tories and Labour tied on 34 per cent, Ukip on 12, the Lib Dems eight and Greens six. Populus, however, has Labour two points ahead on 33 per cent, putting the Conservatives on 31 per cent, Ukip on 16, the Lib Dems on nine and Greens on five.
The polls have moved around a little last seven days, but not in any particular direction. Last Monday, the Tories were ahead in two polls and behind in two others. There was a slight post-Budget bounce in the middle of the week, which the Observer/Opinium said had risen to three per cent yesterday, but the Sunday Times/YouGov had Labour ahead by two points.
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