When the week began, the idea of anyone but Mitt Romney claiming victory in tonight’s South Carolina primary seemed fanciful. He had a 10 point lead in the polls, giving him a 90 per cent chance of
victory according to Nate Silver’s model. Any talk of someone else winning sounded
like the wild hopes of a media keen for the nomination battle to go on as long as possible.
But no longer. As I said on Thursday, it’s been a particularly bad week for Romney and a particularly good one for Newt Gingrich. Gingrich even managed to turn the one thing that seemed likely to halt his momentum – an ABC News interview with his ex-wife in which she claimed he had asked for an open marriage – into by far the strongest moment of Thursday night’s debate.
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