Consider these three propositions:
1. A Mormon, moderate conservative from Massachusetts won 30% of the vote in Alabama and Mississippi in Republican primaries in which 80% of voters were evangelical Christians. Not bad!
2. The Republican front-runner, armed with a massive advantages in cash, organisation and “establishment” support, was rejected by 70% of conservative voters in two of the most conservative states in the Union. Plainly he is weak, weak, weak. Not good!
3. Mitt Romney is still liable to be the Republican nominee.
Each of these propositions benefits from being true. Rick Santorum’s narrow victories in the Deep South are a credit to his dogged stickability and the suspicion with which conservative voters, not altogether unreasonably, view Mitt Romney. But, as Romney will rmeind you any time he can, the race ain’t just about votes it’s also about delegates. And it is difficult to plot a path to 1144 for Santorum.
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