Katy Balls Katy Balls

The latest Scotland poll spells trouble for the Tories

Bad news for unionists in Westminster. A new Opinium poll on the Scottish parliament elections projects that the SNP are on course for a majority come 6 May. The party is polling at 53 per cent (44 per cent on the list vote) and on this would get a majority of around 13 seats. Meanwhile, the Conservatives are on 21 per cent and Labour on 18 per cent. 

The poll makes for disappointing reading for government ministers who had begun to hope that their Scotland problem might disappear of its own accord. After Nicola Sturgeon came under fire in the Salmond inquiry, support for the SNP fell, while several polls suggested support for independence was on the decline. 

When counts as a responsible time for a referendum? Two years? Five years? These are questions Boris Johnson will be under pressure to answer

This meant the Conservative party began to hope that the threat of independence could be on the retreat.

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