Just yesterday, Vladimir Putin criticised David Cameron’s decision suspended all flights to Egypt. This afternoon, he has done the same – which suggests that the Kremlin now agrees with Britain that there is a strong chance that the Airbus 321 was downed by an Isil bomb. And if Putin does believe that, then we expect some kind of retaliation.
Yesterday, the Russians were telling Brits to wait for the outcome of the investigation before suspending flights to Egypt. This afternoon, Alexander Bortnikov, head of the FSB security service, said:
‘Until we know the real reasons for what happened, I consider it expedient to stop Russian flights to Egypt. Above all, this concerns tourist routes.’
The question is whether Russia, if it does conclude that the crash was caused by a terrorist package, decides to pull back from its operations in Syria, or go after Islamic State with a vengeance.
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