Katy Balls Katy Balls

Rishi’s nightmare: YouGov MRP predicts Labour super majority

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It never rains but it pours for Rishi Sunak. Less than an hour after Nigel Farage performed a shock U-turn, announcing he will not only stand for election but take over the leadership of the Reform party, YouGov has released its first MRP poll of the election campaign. It does not make pretty reading for the Tories. The MRP poll says that were an election held today, Labour would win back a whopping majority of 194 seats – a bigger landslide than 1997.

YouGov estimate that in, an election held now, Labour would win 422 seats in total and the Tories would be left with just 140 seats. Ed Davey’s Liberal Democrats would boost their numbers to 48 seats. The SNP in Scotland would be reduced to just 17 seats. As for the Reform party, on the current polling they would have no seats – however, this poll was taken before Farage announced his return.

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