Anthony King, the polling sage, has an op-ed in the Telegraph today setting out the polling case for why the Tories should go into the New Year in good heart. King notes that the Tories—who have led in the YouGov poll for the last 15 months with forty percent plus support—have not been in such a strong polling position since the poll tax did for Margaret Thatcher’s popularity. He also points out that anti-Tory tactical voting is likely to unwind at the next election with Labour’s lead among Lib Dem voters having fallen from 40 percent at the last election to 11 percent today.
But the prime reason for optimism for the Tories that King sets out is that the government is bound to be hurt politically by the reality of the recession:
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