James Forsyth James Forsyth

Reasons for Barack Obama to be cheerful

James Forsyth says that Super Tuesday did not give the Illinois senator the mandate he craved. But, with money, time and inspiration on his side, he can still beat Hillary

issue 09 February 2008

Super Tuesday was meant to be the decisive day in the Obama–Clinton contest. Instead it was an indecisive super-muddle. Both candidates did only what they needed to do and no more. After California was called for Clinton, Missouri ended up going for Obama — a turnaround which ensured that the evening ended in a score draw but with Obama leading on away goals.

It was meant to be the night that Hillary Clinton was anointed as the Democratic nominee presumptive. The Clintonite establishment — which played such a crucial role in setting up a schedule where more than 20 states voted on one day — did not believe that any challenger could survive what was effectively a national primary against a candidate with 100 per cent name-recognition.

Hillary had establishment support and access to a tried and tested money-raising machine. But Obama still lives. He won a majority of the states, 13 to her nine, and in the all-important delegate count Hillary is, at the time of writing, only leading thanks to the support of unelected super-delegates.

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