Poll shows Cameron on course for a 78 seat majority

The News of the World has conducted one of its marginal seat polls, in 192 Labour-held constituencies – details here. Taken Wednesday through Friday, it indicates Cameron is on course for a 78-seat majority with a 15-point lead. As is normal when a party is ahead by such a margin, the Tories are credited with better policies across the board. The Tory vote is slightly harder in the marginals – 62 percent say they’re certain to vote, v 56 percent for Labour supporters. But the good news for Brown in that only 36 percent think he should step down and 58 percent think he should carry on. No real alternate leader emerges, which I always attribute to a lack of name recognition. But this is still powerful in keeping a Labour mutiny at bay. Labour, as a party, doesn’t do shots in the dark. It prefers five-year plans. And until polls pretty much prove they’d do better under someone else, Brown is basically safe.